Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Preview
The kickoff for this week 13 matchup between the Dolphins and Commanders takes place at 1:00 ET at FedEx Field. FOX will be carrying the television coverage for this MIA vs. WAS shodown.
Miami comes into this non-conference matchup with the Commanders, as the 9.5 point road favorite. Keep reading to get my recommendations on what angles to take for your bets. Check out BetCoco for Washington Commanders – Miami Dolphins odds
Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Dolphins and Commanders have gone in favor of the Dolphins, putting together a record of 5-4. In the previous three head-head to matchups between the Dolphins and Commanders, the Dolphins have gone 3-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 5 points per game.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
- Across their last five home contests, Washington has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 17 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Commanders have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
- As the betting favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
As we enter week 13, Miami is in 1st place in the AFC-East with an overall record of 8-3. In the AFC, they are currently in 4th place. The Dolphins’ scoring margin for the season is currently +8. This has contributed to their ATS record of 7-4. Looking at their over/under lines, the Dolphins have seen an average line of 47.8 points. Their games have averaged 53.6 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 6-5.
On the offensive front, the Dolphins are currently averaging 30.8 points per game, positioning them 2nd in the NFL. On defense, the Dolphins are currently positioned 8th in tackles for loss and 3rd in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 22.8 points per game and gaining 305.2 yards per contest.
So far this season, the Commanders are 4-8 overall which has the team placed 4th in the NFC-East. This record has come while going 3-5 as the underdog and 1-3 when favored. Against the spread, the Commanders have a record of 5-6-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -8.7. The average over/under line for the Commanders this season stands at 41.7 points. Their games have averaged 49.7 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 7-5.
Offensively, the Commanders have an average of 20.5 points per game, which is 17th in the NFL. On the defensive front, the Commanders currently hold the 3rd position in tackles for loss and rank 6th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 29.2 points and 377.7 yards per game against them.
The Dolphins enter this game as 9.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 23-22. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Miami team has a 52% chance of prevailing over the Commanders.
Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Betting Tips
- Take the Dolphins on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Commanders (+9.5)
- Our NFL model projects 45 points, and we suggest taking the under
Washington Commanders Injury Report
- Jeremy Reaves – Knee (Out)
- Alex Armah – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Efe Obada – Leg (Out)
- Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
- Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
- David Bada – Triceps (Out)
- Darrick Forrest – Shoulder (Out)
- James Smith-Williams – Hamstring (Questionable)
- De’Jon Harris – Quad (Out)
- Saahdiq Charles – Calf (Out)
- Ricky Stromberg – Knee (Out)
- Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
- Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
- Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
- Drew White – Knee (Out)
- Emmanuel Forbes Jr. – Elbow (Questionable)
Miami Dolphins Injury Report
- Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
- De’Von Achane – Knee (Questionable)
- Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
- Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
- Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
- Terron Armstead – Quad (Questionable)
- Salvon Ahmed – Foot (Out)
- Chase Claypool – Knee (Questionable)
- Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Out)
- Jevon Holland – Knee (Questionable)
- Robert Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Out)
