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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction & Betting Tips 12/4/2023

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals 12/4/2023:
  • Take the Jaguars on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bengals (+8.5)
  • Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview

On Monday, December 4th at 8:15 ET, the Jacksonville Jaguars will host the Cincinnati Bengals. Television coverage for this week 13 NFL matchup at EverBank Stadium will be on ABC.

In a matchup between two AFC teams, the Jaguars are 8.5 point favorites at home. Are they they best bet on the spread? Check out my breakdown and analysis of this matchup below. Check out BetCoco for Jacksonville Jaguars – Cincinnati Bengals odds

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last three times that the Jaguars have faced off vs. the Bengals as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In addition to going 2-1 vs. the spread in the last three head-to-head games vs. the Bengals, the Jaguars are 2-1 ATS the last three times they have hosted the Bengals.

  • The Bengals are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Jacksonville has an ATS mark of 9-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Bengals have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Cincinnati posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
  • The Jaguars have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

Going into week 13, Cincinnati is 4th in the AFC-North with an overall record of 5-6. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 11th place. The Bengals hold a 4-7 record against the spread. As we approach week 13, their scoring margin stands at -2.7 per game. So far this season, Cincinnati games are 21st in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 5-6, with an average over/under line for their games set at 44.8 points.

Overall, the Bengals offense is averaging 19.3 points per game which is 20th in the NFL. In terms of scoring on the road, the Bengals are averaging 18.2 points per contest. Facing the Jaguars this week, the Bengals defense has allowed an average of 22 points per game. They currently rank 9th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 389.3 yards per contest.

At 8-3, the Jaguars are 3rd in the AFC and 1st in the AFC-South. This will be Jacksonville’s 7th home game this season, where they have gone 3-3 compared to 5-0 on the road. The Jaguars’ scoring margin for the season is currently +2.6. This has contributed to their ATS record of 8-3. So far this season, the Jaguars hold an over/under record of 5-6. The average over/under betting line in their games has been 44.5 points, and their games have averaged a combined 43.5 points.

On the offensive front, the Jaguars are currently averaging 23.1 points per game, positioning them 10th in the NFL. In terms of yards allowed, the Jaguars are 20th in the league while giving up 342.4 yards per contest. Jacksonville’s defense has allowed 20.5 points per game, placing them 11th in the NFL.

With a 8.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Jaguars to secure a 24-21 victory. Our analytics have assigned Jacksonville a 60% chance of defeating the Bengals.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals Betting Tips

  • Take the Jaguars on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bengals (+8.5)
  • Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over

Jacksonville Jaguars Injury Report

  • Cam Robinson – Knee (Out)
  • Jamal Agnew – Shoulder/ribs (Out)
  • Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Tyson Campbell – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Leonard Taylor – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
  • Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
  • Christian Braswell – Hamstring (Out)

Cincinnati Bengals Injury Report

  • D’Ante Smith – Knee (Questionable)
  • Logan Wilson – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Tee Higgins – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Joe Burrow – Wrist (Out)
  • Devonnsha Maxwell – Knee (Out)
  • Devin Cochran – Knee (Out)
  • Jaxson Kirkland – Wrist (Out)
  • Cam Taylor-Britt – Quad (Questionable)
  • Tycen Anderson – Knee (Out)

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