San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions Preview
At 6:30 ET, the Lions and 49ers square off at Levi’s Stadium in a Conference Championship NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to FOX with the game being played on Sunday, January 28th.
The odds for this Conference Championship NFC matchup have the 49ers as the 7 point favorites at home. Will the 49ers pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Sunday. Check out BetCoco for San Francisco 49ers – Detroit Lions odds
San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Lions and 49ers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the 49ers have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Lions went 3-0. The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 59 points per game.
- Across the Lions last ten road games, the team averaged 23 points per game while allowing 23. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- Across their last five home contests, San Francisco has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 35 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Lions have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 8-2.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the 49ers have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions Prediction
This week will be the Lions’ 10th road game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 6-3 on the road and 8-2 at home. Their overall mark of 12-5 has them sitting 1st in the NFC-North. Taking a look at the Lions’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +3.9. This has resulted in an ATS record of 13-6. Detroit has an over/under record of 12-7 so far this year. Their average over/under betting line stands at 47.5 points, and their games have averaged a combined 50.4 points per game.
Detroit’s offense comes in with an average of 27.2 points per game, which is currently 5th in the league. Facing the 49ers this week, the Lions defense has allowed an average of 23.2 points per game. They currently rank 5th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 344.6 yards per contest.
This season, the 49ers hold the 1st position in the NFC-West with an overall record of 12-5. In non-conference games, they have a record of 2-3, and in NFC action, they are 11-2. Against the spread, the 49ers are currently 9-8-1. So far, they have been favored in all of their games. So far this season, the 49ers have been given an average over/under line of 44.2 points. Their games have averaged 46.3 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 9-8-1.
The 49ers come in with an average 28.6 points per game on offense, which has them 3rd in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, the 49ers give up an average of 213.1 passing yards and 92.3 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, San Francisco is currently ranked 7th in the league. So far, they are giving up 17.7 points per game and 305.4 yards.
With a 7-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the 49ers to secure a 28-23 victory. Our analytics have assigned San Francisco a 65% chance of defeating the Lions.
San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions Betting Tips
- Take the 49ers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Lions (+7)
- Our NFL model projects 51 points, and we suggest taking the under
San Francisco 49ers Injury Report
- Brandon Aiyuk – Shoulder (Out)
- Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
- Samuel Womack III – Knee (Out)
- Ambry Thomas – Knee (Out)
- Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)
- Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Out)
Detroit Lions Injury Report
- Khalil Dorsey – Illness (Out)
- Julian Okwara – Arm (Out)
- David Montgomery – Thigh (Out)
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Knee/hamstring (Out)
- Taylor Decker – Ankle (Out)
- Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
- Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Knee (Out)
- Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
- Jameson Williams – Suspension (Out)
- James Houston – Ankle (Out)
- Josh Paschal – Knee (Out)
- Kerby Joseph – Hip (Out)
- Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
