New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
At 1:00 ET, the Saints and Buccaneers go head-to-head at Caesars Superdome in this week 4 NFL matchup. Catch the action on FOX with the game scheduled for Sunday, October 1st.
The Saints are set as 3.5 point favorites at home in this NFC South showdown. Can they pull off a home win and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for New Orleans Saints – Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In their two head to head matchups last season, the Buccaneers went 2-0. The Buccaneers and Saints split their games vs. the spread last season. Together they combined to average 31.5 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 0-2. On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Buccaneers averaging 305 yards per game compared to the Saints at 303.
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Buccaneers are averaging 12 points per game, compared to the Saints at 11. These figures have led to Tampa Bay posting a record of 2-1.
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
Over the course of three games, the Buccaneers have put together a record of 2-1. This positions them 3rd in the NFC-South and 9th in the NFC. As the underdog, Tampa Bay has gone 1-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 1-0 as the favorite. At home, the Buccaneers are 1-1 ATS and 1-0 vs. the spread on the road. So far this season, Tampa Bay games are 20th in total points. Their over/under record is 1-2 and the average over/under line for their games is 43.2 points.
On offense, the Buccaneers are at 19.3 points per game, putting them 16th in the NFL. On defense, the Buccaneers are giving up an average of 256.0 passing yards per game and 103.0. In terms of sacks, Tampa Bay is 5th among other defenses and they are giving up 19.7 points per game and 359.0 yards.
In the NFC-South standings, the Saints are in 2nd place with a record of 2-1. Within the NFC, New Orleans is 8th, heading into week 4. The Saints’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +1. This has contributed to an ATS record of 0-2-1. The average over/under line for New Orleans games this season is currently 40.8 points. They have an over/under record of 0-3 with an average margin against the over/under of -6.5.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Saints currently hold an average of 17.7 points per game, which places them at 21st in the NFL. Defensively, New Orleans is 6th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 16.7 points per game while gaining 288.0 yards per contest.
With the Saints being favored by 3.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 22-19 in favor of the Saints. Our analytics assigns New Orleans a 60% chance of defeating the Buccaneers.
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Tips
- Take the Saints on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Buccaneers (+3.5)
- Projecting a combined 41 points, we like the over
New Orleans Saints Injury Report
- Derek Carr – Right Shoulder (Questionable)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Marcus Maye – Suspended (Out)
- Jamaal Williams – Hamstring (Out)
- Foster Moreau – Ankle (Questionable)
- Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Cesar Ruiz – Concussion (Questionable)
- Paulson Adebo – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
- Jake Haener – Suspension (Out)
- Jordan Howden – Finger (Questionable)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Calijah Kancey – Calf (Questionable)
- SirVocea Dennis – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Vita Vea – Pectoral (Questionable)
- Devin White – Foot (Questionable)
- Derrek Pitts – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jamel Dean – Neck/shoulder (Questionable)
- Carlton Davis III – Toe (Probable)
- Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
