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dallas cowboys vs new england patriots prediction & betting tips 10/1/2023 sport preview

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Prediction & Betting Tips 10/1/2023

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Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots 10/1/2023:
  • Take the Cowboys on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Patriots (+6.5)
  • Projecting a combined 47 points, we like the over

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Preview

At 4:25 ET, the Patriots and Cowboys meet at AT&T Stadium for a week 4 NFL game. TV coverage is provided by FOX, and the game takes place on Sunday, October 1st.

In this non-conference clash, Dallas comes in as 6.5 point road favorites against the Patriots. Check out our recommendations and betting analysis by continuing to read. Check out BetCoco for Dallas Cowboys – New England Patriots odds

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Head-to-Head and Key Stats

When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Dallas and New England, the Patriots hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 8 points.

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-4-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 22 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Cowboys offense has averaged 25 points per game while allowing an average of 20. Dallas posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Cowboys have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
  • The Patriots have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Prediction

This week will be the Patriots’ 2nd road game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 1-0 on the road and 0-2 at home. Their overall mark of 1-2 has them sitting 3rd in the AFC-East. This season, the Patriots boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 1-2. Their average scoring margin for this season is -2.3. New England games have averaged 37 points so far this season, which is 23rd in the NFL. Their over/under record is 1-2, with an average OU line of 42 points.

On offense, the Patriots are at 17.3 points per game, putting them 22nd in the NFL. The Patriots are 5th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 270.3 yards per contest. New England’s defense comes in with an average of 19.7 points per game allowed, which is 9th in the NFL.

Going into week 4, Dallas is 2nd in the NFC-East with an overall record of 2-1. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 6th place. Against the spread, the Cowboys are currently 2-1. So far, they have been favored in all of their games. This season, the average over/under line for games involving Dallas is 42.2 points. They currently hold an over/under record of 2-1, and their average margin against the over/under is -0.8.

On the offensive front, the Cowboys are currently averaging 28.7 points per game, positioning them 5th in the NFL. Defensively, Dallas is 3rd in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 12.7 points per game while gaining 262.0 yards per contest.

With the Cowboys being favored by 6.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 26-21 in favor of the Cowboys. Our analytics assigns Dallas a 65% chance of defeating the Patriots.

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Betting Tips

  • Take the Cowboys on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Patriots (+6.5)
  • Projecting a combined 47 points, we like the over

Dallas Cowboys Injury Report

  • Zack Martin – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Nahshon Wright – Ankle (Out)
  • Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
  • Tyler Biadasz – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Waletzko – Shoulder (Out)
  • John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Tyron Smith – Knee (Questionable)
  • Chuma Edoga – Elbow (Questionable)
  • David Durden – Knee (Out)
  • DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)

New England Patriots Injury Report

  • Sidy Sow – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
  • Christian Barmore – Knee (Questionable)
  • Cole Strange – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tyquan Thornton – Shoulder (Out)
  • Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Jack Jones – Hamstring (Out)
  • Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
  • Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
  • Davon Godchaux – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jonathan Jones – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
  • Trey Flowers – Foot (Out)
  • Cody Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Riley Reiff – Knee (Out)


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