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new orleans saints vs chicago bears prediction 11/5/2023 sport preview

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears Prediction & Betting Tips 11/5/2023

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Selections

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears 11/5/2023:
  • Take the Saints on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bears (+8.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 1 points, and we suggest taking the under

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears Preview

The Bears will face the Saints in this week 9 CFB game, airing on CBS at 1:00 (11/5/23). The contest is set to occur at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans (LA).

New Orleans heads into this NFC matchup as the 8.5 point favorite to come away with the win. Does this mean they are a lock to win? Read on to get my take on this matchup. Check out BetCoco for New Orleans Saints – Chicago Bears odds

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last three games between Chicago and New Orleans, the Saints have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 8 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, New Orleans is averaging 27 points compared to Chicago at 19.

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Bears have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Saints have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-4-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 18 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-2-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 2-7-1 while going 5-5 straight up.

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears Prediction

The Bears’ week 9 matchup vs. New Orleans will be their 5th road game of the season. On the road, they have gone 1-3 and are 2-6 overall. In the NFC-North, Chicago is 4th and 14th in the NFC. Taking a look at the Bears’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -5.9. This has resulted in an ATS record of 2-5-1. Throughout this season, Chicago games have averaged 48.6 points, ranking them 7th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 6-2, with an average OU line of 43.8 points.

The Bears come in with an average of 21.4 points per game which is 16th in the NFL. On the defensive front, the Bears currently hold the 7th position in tackles for loss and rank 15th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 27.2 points and 341.0 yards per game against them.

Heading into their week 9 matchup against Chicago the Saints are in 2nd place in the NFC-South on a record of 4-4. In their three games at home they have gone 1-2 and 3-2 on the road. So far this season, the Saints are above .500 vs. the spread at 2-5-1. Their average scoring margin this season is +2.1. The average over/under line for New Orleans games this season is 41 points. Their over/under record stands at 2-6, with an average margin against the over/under of -0.4.

As they enter week 9, the Saints offense ranks 16th in the league, averaging 21.4 points per contest. The Saints currently rank 17th in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 19.2 points per game and 296.4 yards per contest against them.

Coming in as 8.5 point favorites, our projections have the Saints picking up a 1-0 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives New Orleans 0% chance of taking down the Bears.

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears Betting Tips

  • Take the Saints on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bears (+8.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 1 points, and we suggest taking the under

New Orleans Saints Injury Report

  • James Hurst – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
  • Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
  • Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
  • Adam Prentice – Knee (Out)
  • Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
  • Malcolm Roach – Illness (Questionable)
  • Shaquan Davis – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ty Summers – Concussion/hamstring (Questionable)
  • Lynn Bowden – Illness (Questionable)
  • Demario Davis – Knee (Questionable)
  • Andrus Peat – Ankle (Probable)
  • Michael Thomas – Illness (Probable)
  • Taysom Hill – Hip (Questionable)

Chicago Bears Injury Report

  • Larry Borom – Personal (Questionable)
  • Tremaine Edmunds – Knee (Questionable)
  • Terell Smith – Illness (Questionable)
  • Khalil Herbert – Ankle (Out)
  • Justin Fields – Right Thumb (Questionable)
  • Josh Blackwell – Hamstring (Out)
  • Braxton Jones – Neck (Questionable)
  • Jaquan Brisker – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Nate Davis – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Equanimeous St. Brown – Hamstring (Out)

 

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