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houston texans vs tampa bay buccaneers prediction 11/5/2023 sport preview

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction & Betting Tips 11/5/2023

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Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11/5/2023:
  • We like the Buccaneers on the moneyline (+126)
  • The Buccaneers are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NFL model projects 39 points, and we suggest taking the under

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview

Taking the field at 1:00 on Sunday, November 5th is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Houston Texans. This game will be played at NRG Stadium in Houston TX. Carrying the game on television is CBS.

In this non-conference showdown, Houston is listed as 3 point road favorites against the Buccaneers. Continue reading for my tips and betting advice. Check out BetCoco for Houston Texans – Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last five head to head matchups, the Texans have had the upper-hand, going 4-1. Looking back over the previous three times that the Buccaneers and Texans have faced off, they have combined to average 38 points per game and have an over/under record of 1-2.

  • In their last five road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 20 points per game while allowing 19 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three home contests, Houston has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
  • The last ten games that Houston was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 4-6 straight up.

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

With an overall record of 3-4, the Buccaneers are 3rd in the NFC-South. This record also has them 9th in the NFC. On the road, Tampa Bay is 2-1 compared to a record of 1-3 at home. The Buccaneers have put together a record of 4-3 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of -1. Tampa Bay games this season have averaged 35.6 points, which is 30th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 1-6, with an average OU line of 41.9 points.

Regarding their offense, the Buccaneers have an average 17.3 points per game, which places them 24th in the NFL. When it comes to defense, the Buccaneers have given up 256.0 passing yards and 98.6 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Tampa Bay ranks 11th among other defenses. Coming into week 9, they have allowed 18.3 points per game and 354.6 yards.

As week 9 approaches, Houston is in 2nd place in the AFC-South, coming in with an overall record of 3-4. In the AFC, they currently reside in 10th place. Houston’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at +2.9. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 4-3. Looking at their over/under lines, the Texans have seen an average line of 42.1 points. Their games have averaged 39.4 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 2-5.

On offense, the Texans are at 21.1 points per game, putting them 17th in the NFL. When it comes to yards allowed, the Texans rank 18th in the league, conceding an average of 335.4 yards per contest. Houston’s defense has allowed 18.3 points per game, which has them 6th in the NFL.

Even though they are 3 point underdogs, we see the Buccaneers winning this game by a score of 20-19. After running simulations of the game, the Buccaneers have a win probability of 50% vs. the Texans.

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Tips

  • We like the Buccaneers on the moneyline (+126)
  • The Buccaneers are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NFL model projects 39 points, and we suggest taking the under

Houston Texans Injury Report

  • Robert Woods – Foot (Questionable)
  • Sheldon Rankins – Knee (Questionable)
  • Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Derek Stingley Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
  • Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
  • Brevin Jordan – Foot (Questionable)
  • Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
  • Ka’dar Hollman – Ankle (Probable)
  • Tytus Howard – Knee (Probable)
  • Dameon Pierce – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Questionable)
  • George Fant – Foot/shoulder (Probable)
  • Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
  • Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Kaevon Merriweather – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Ko Kieft – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Tristan Wirfs – Quadriceps (Probable)
  • Logan Hall – Groin (Questionable)
  • Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Feiler – Knee (Questionable)
  • Russell Gage – Knee (Out)


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