Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions Preview
At 4:05 ET, the Lions and Chargers face each other at SoFi Stadium in a week 10 NFL contest. CBS will broadcast the game, scheduled for Sunday, November 12th.
In this non-conference matchup, the Lions are favored by 1.5 to secure the win. Is betting on them to cover the spread the right choice, or should you consider the Chargers for better value? Keep reading to learn more. Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Chargers – Detroit Lions odds
Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Los Angeles and Detroit, the Lions hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 9 points.
- Through their last ten road games, Detroit has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 21 points per game.
- In their last ten games at home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Chargers have a straight up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Lions have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 8-2.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions Prediction
So far this season, the Lions are an above .500 team on the road at 3-1. Heading into week 10, they are 1st in the NFC-North on an overall record of 6-2. At home, Detroit has gone 3-1 thus far. When it comes to the spread, the Lions have a 6-2 record. Heading into week 10, their scoring margin is at +4.4 (per game). So far this season, Detroit games are 10th in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 4-4, with an average over/under line for their games set at 45.9 points.
Overall, the Lions offense is averaging 25 points per game which is 9th in the NFL. In terms of scoring on the road, the Lions are averaging 20.2 points per contest. The Lions currently rank 15th in tackles for loss and 10th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 20.6 points per game and 296.9 yards per contest against them.
Taking a glance at the AFC-West standings, the Chargers are 2nd with a record of 4-4. Within the AFC, Los Angeles is currently in 10th place as they enter week 10. Taking a look at the Chargers’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +3.4. This has resulted in an ATS record of 4-4. Against the over/under, the Chargers have a record of 2-6. In their games, the average over/under betting line has been 47.7 points, and the games have averaged 46.9 points per contest.
With an average of 25.1 points per contest, the Los Angeles offense currently ranks 8th in the league. Los Angeles is sitting 19th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 10, their opponents are putting up an average of 21.8 points per game, on 375.8 yards per contest.
Even though they are 1.5 point underdogs, we see the Chargers winning this game by a score of 26-23. After running simulations of the game, the Chargers have a win probability of 60% vs. the Lions.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions Betting Tips
- We like the Chargers on the moneyline (+103)
- The Chargers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 49 points, we like the over
Los Angeles Chargers Injury Report
- Zack Bailey – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Kenneth Murray Jr. – Shoulder (Probable)
- Jaylinn Hawkins – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Joshua Palmer – Knee (Out)
- Isaiah Spiller – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Sebastian Joseph-Day – Illness (Probable)
- Morgan Fox – Oblique (Probable)
- Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
- Eric Kendricks – Ribs (Probable)
- Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
- Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
- JT Woods – Illness (Out)
- Scott Matlock – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Elijah Dotson – Gameday Inactive (Out)
- Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)
Detroit Lions Injury Report
- Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
- Mohamed Ibrahim – Hip (Out)
- Khalil Dorsey – Knee (Questionable)
- Kayode Awosika – Lower Body (Questionable)
- Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
- Jonah Jackson – Ankle (Questionable)
- Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
- Scott Daly – Knee (Out)
- Frank Ragnow – Calf/toe (Questionable)
- David Montgomery – Ribs (Questionable)
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
- Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
- Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
- James Houston – Ankle (Out)
- Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Out)
