Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings Preview
The Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos will face off on Sunday, November 19th at 8:20 ET. You can find this week 11 NFL game between the Vikings and Broncos on NBC.
The Broncos are the 2 favorites to come away with the win in this non-conference matchup. Are they the best play against the spread? Keep reading to see how I think this one plays out in Denver. Check out BetCoco for Denver Broncos – Minnesota Vikings odds
Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Vikings and Broncos did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Broncos have the leg up at 2-1. The Broncos also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 53 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-0-1.
- The Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
- Although Denver has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-1-1. The team averaged 21 points per game in these games.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Vikings have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 4-5-1.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Broncos have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-1-1 against the spread.
Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction
Having played 10 games, the Vikings have a record of 6-4. This puts them at 2nd in the NFC-North and 7th in the NFC. The Vikings’ have a scoring margin of +2.4 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 6-3-1. With an over/under record of 3-7, the Vikings come in with an average margin of -1.2 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have averaged 44.2 points per game (combined).
The Vikings come in with an average 23.3 points per game on offense, which has them 11th in the NFL. Minnesota’s defense has come up with 14 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 5th in the NFL. Heading into week 11, they are allowing 20.9 points per game and 323.2 yards.
Heading into week 11, the Broncos are 4th in the AFC-West on a record of 4-5. When comparing their mark to other teams in the AFC, they are 14th. So far, they have gone 2-3 at home and 2-2 on the road. Denver’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -5.8. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 3-5-1. Currently, the Broncos have an average over/under line of 44.8 points for this season. Their games have been averaging 49.3 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 4-5.
On offense, the Broncos are currently averaging 21.8 points per game, ranking them 14th in the NFL. The Denver defense has recorded 16 takeaways this season, which places them 3rd in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 27.6 is 29th in the league while giving up 401.8 yards per contest.
Even though they are 2 point underdogs, we see the Vikings winning this game by a score of 21-20. After running simulations of the game, the Vikings have a win probability of 51% vs. the Broncos.
Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Tips
- We like the Vikings on the moneyline (+111)
- The Vikings are also our pick on the spread at +2
- Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Broncos Injury Report
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Brandon Johnson – Hamstring (Out)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
Minnesota Vikings Injury Report
- Olisaemeka Udoh – Quad (Out)
- Alexander Mattison – Concussion (Questionable)
- Marcus Davenport – Ankle (Out)
- Nick Mullens – Back (Out)
- Jordan Hicks – Lower Leg (Out)
- Kirk Cousins – Achilles (Out)
- Chris Reed – Lower Leg (Questionable)
- Dean Lowry – Groin (Questionable)
- Brian Asamoah II – Ankle (Questionable)
- Akayleb Evans – Calf (Questionable)
- James Lynch – Knee (Out)
- K.J. Osborn – Concussion (Questionable)
- Justin Jefferson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Cam Akers – Achilles (Out)
- Jaren Hall – Concussion (Questionable)
- Malik Knowles – Undisclosed (Out)
