Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers Preview
On Monday, October 9th, the Raiders are hosting the Packers at Allegiant Stadium. This week 5 NFL matchup kicks off at 8:15 ET with ABC carrying the television coverage.
Green Bay is set to take on the Raiders in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 0.5 on the road. Read on for my analysis and betting angles. Check out BetCoco for Las Vegas Raiders – Green Bay Packers odds
Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Packers have been dominant over the Raiders, going 5-0 in their last five head to head games. In the last five head to head games between the Packers and Raiders, the average combined point total is 53 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 5-0.
- Through their last ten road games, Green Bay has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 21 points per game.
- In their last three games at home, the Raiders have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 14 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Raiders have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Packers have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
Coming into their game against Raiders, the Packers are trying to improve on a 2-2 record. This mark has them at 2nd in the NFC-North and 10th in the NFC. Heading into this week’s matchup, the Packers have been the underdog in all of their first four games. Their current ATS record sits at 3-1, accompanied by a scoring margin of +1. At 3-1 vs. the over/under, the Packers have an average margin of +7.1 versus their over/under lines. This season, their games have a combined average of 49 points per contest.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Packers currently hold an average of 25 points per game, which places them at 10th in the NFL. On defense, the Packers are giving up an average of 197.2 passing yards per game and 155.2. In terms of sacks, Green Bay is 6th among other defenses and they are giving up 24 points per game and 352.5 yards.
This week will be the Raiders’ 2nd home game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 0-1 at home and 1-2 on the road. Their overall mark of 1-3 has them sitting 3rd in the AFC-West. As the underdog, Las Vegas has gone 1-2 this season compared to their ATS record of 0-1 as the favorite. At home, the Raiders are 0-1 ATS and 1-2 vs. the spread on the road. This season, the Raiders have an over/under record and have an average margin of -4.9 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 40.8 points per game.
Coming into week 5, the Raiders offense is 24th in the league at 15.5 points per contest. When it comes to defense, the Raiders have given up 202.8 passing yards and 134.2 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Las Vegas ranks 10th among other defenses. Coming into week 5, they have allowed 25.2 points per game and 337.0 yards.
Despite being 0.5 point underdogs, we predict the Raiders to come out on top with a final score of 24-18. Our game simulations assign the Raiders a 68% chance of defeating the Packers.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers Betting Tips
- We like the Raiders on the moneyline (-105)
- The Raiders are also our pick on the spread at +0.5
- Our NFL model projects 42 points, and we suggest taking the under
Las Vegas Raiders Injury Report
- Jimmy Garoppolo – Head (Questionable)
- David Long Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
- Brandon Facyson – Shin (Out)
- Nate Hobbs – Ankle (Questionable)
- Darien Butler – Undisclosed (Out)
- Curtis Bolton – Knee (Out)
- Austin Walter – Undisclosed (Out)
- Dalton Wagner – Undisclosed (Out)
- Brittain Brown – Undisclosed (Out)
Green Bay Packers Injury Report
- Luke Musgrave – Concussion (Questionable)
- Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
- Zayne Anderson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
- Eric Stokes – Foot (Out)
- De’Vondre Campbell – Ankle (Questionable)
- David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
- Jaire Alexander – Back (Questionable)
- Elgton Jenkins – Knee (mcl) (Questionable)
