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kansas city chiefs vs denver broncos prediction & betting tips 10/12/2023 sport preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Betting Tips 10/12/2023

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 10/12/2023:
  • Take the Chiefs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Broncos (+10.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 44 points, and we suggest taking the under

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Preview

You can find this week 6 NFL matchup between the Broncos and Chiefs on AMAZON at 8:15 (10/12/23). This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City (MO).

Kansas City heads into this AFC matchup as the 10.5 point favorite to come away with the win. Does this mean they are a lock to win? Read on to get my take on this matchup. Check out BetCoco for Kansas City Chiefs – Denver Broncos odds

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Going back to last season, the Chiefs and Broncos faced off two times, with the Chiefs going 2-0. The over/under under mark in these matchups was 2-0, with the team’s combining to average 56.5 points per contest. When looking at the spread, the Broncos went 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups. The Chiefs had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 402.5 yards of offense compared to the Broncos at 313.5.

In the last three games that the Chiefs have hosted the Broncos, they are a perfect 3-0. Over the last three head-to-head matchup between the Broncos and Chiefs, the Broncos have the edge vs. the spread at 3-0, but the Chiefs actually have a positive scoring differential of 4 points per game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction

Going into this week 6 AFC matchup, the Broncos have an overall record of 1-4. In the AFC-West standings, the Broncos are in 4th place and 16th in the AFC. So far, they have gone 0-3 against AFC opponents and 1-1 on the road. The current scoring margin for the Broncos’ is -12, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 0-4-1. So far this season, games involving Denver have averaged 60.4 points, ranking them 2nd in the NFL. They currently have an over/under record of 4-1, with an average OU line of 43.7 points.

Offensively, the Broncos have an average of 24.2 points per game, which is 10th in the NFL. Denver is sitting 29th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 6, their opponents are putting up an average of 36.2 points per game, on 450.6 yards per contest.

At home, the Chiefs have a record of 1-1 this season and are 4-1 overall. When looking at the standings, Kansas City is 1st in the AFC and 1st in the AFC-West. On the road, Kansas City has gone 3-0 thus far. This season, the Chiefs find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 3-2. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +9.6. This season, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 2-3. Their games have seen an average over/under betting line of 49 points, and the average combined score per game has been 41.6 points.

Kansas City’s offense is 9th in the league, with an average of 25.6 points per contest. Thus far, the Chiefs’ defense has given up an average of 301.4 yards per game and 16 points per contest (4th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 61.1% and have surrendered six passing touchdowns. When it comes to run defense, they rank 11th in the NFL.

Coming in as 10.5 point favorites, our projections have the Chiefs picking up a 27-17 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives Kansas City 80% chance of taking down the Broncos.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Betting Tips

  • Take the Chiefs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Broncos (+10.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 44 points, and we suggest taking the under

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Nick Bolton – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Cole Christiansen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • George Karlaftis – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Travis Kelce – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Suspension (Out)
  • Richie James – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Dickerson – Knee (Probable)

Denver Broncos Injury Report

  • Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
  • Frank Clark – Illness (Questionable)
  • Justin Strnad – Back (Questionable)
  • Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
  • Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
  • Baron Browning – Knee (Questionable)
  • Javonte Williams – Quad (Probable)
  • Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
  • Lloyd Cushenberry III – Quad (Questionable)
  • Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
  • Justin Simmons – Hip (Questionable)
  • Mike Purcell – Ribs (Questionable)
  • K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • D.J. Jones – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)


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