Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns Preview
You can catch this week 7 NFL game between the Browns and Colts on CBS at 1:00 (10/22/23). The matchup will take place at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis (IN).
The Browns are set as 3 point favorites on the road in this AFC showdown. Can they pull off a road win and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Indianapolis Colts – Cleveland Browns odds
Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Browns and Colts did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Colts have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Browns went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 54 points per game.
- Although Cleveland has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 20 points per game in these games.
- Across their last three home contests, Indianapolis has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 24 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Colts have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
- The last ten games that Cleveland was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.
Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns Prediction
With a record of 3-2, the Browns head into their week 7 matchup with Colts in 3rd place in the AFC-North. So far, they have gone 0-1 on the road and 3-1 at home. The Browns’ scoring margin for the season is currently +3.6. This has contributed to their ATS record of 3-2. So far this season, the Browns have been given an average over/under line of 39.4 points. Their games have averaged 34.4 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-3-1.
The Cleveland offense is currently ranked 19th in the league, averaging 19 points per contest. The Cleveland defense has four takeaways this season, positioning them 11th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 15.4 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 200.4 yards.
So far this season, the Colts have an overall record of 3-3 and have a below .500 record at home (1-2). Heading into week 7, the Colts are 2nd in the AFC-South and 8th in the AFC. Indianapolis come in with average scoring margin of -2. Their ATS record stands at 3-3, and they have been the underdog in all of their games. This season, the average over/under line for games involving Indianapolis is 43.4 points. They currently hold an over/under record of 4-2, and their average margin against the over/under is +5.2.
On the offensive front, the Colts are currently averaging 23.3 points per game, positioning them 11th in the NFL. On the defensive front, the Colts currently hold the 1st position in tackles for loss and rank 5th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 25.3 points and 357.2 yards per game against them.
Even though they are 3 point underdogs, we see the Colts winning this game by a score of 23-20. After running simulations of the game, the Colts have a win probability of 57% vs. the Browns.
Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns Betting Tips
- We like the Colts on the moneyline (+132)
- The Colts are also our pick on the spread at +3
- Projecting a combined 43 points, we like the over
Indianapolis Colts Injury Report
- Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
- Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
- Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
- Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
- Grover Stewart – Suspended (Out)
- Tony Brown – Back (Probable)
- Kylen Granson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
- Braden Smith – Hip/wrist (Questionable)
- Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
- Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
- Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
- Alec Pierce – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
- Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
Cleveland Browns Injury Report
- Michael Dunn – Calf (Out)
- Kareem Hunt – Thigh (Questionable)
- Harrison Bryant – Hip (Questionable)
- Greg Newsome II – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Amari Cooper – Ankle (Questionable)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Anthony Walker Jr. – Concussion (Questionable)
- Deshaun Watson – Right Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Joel Bitonio – Knee (Questionable)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Knee (Out)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Thomas Graham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
- Daylen Baldwin – Hamstring (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Michael Woods II – Achilles (Out)
