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denver broncos vs green bay packers prediction & betting tips 10/22/2023 sport preview

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers Prediction & Betting Tips 10/22/2023

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Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers 10/22/2023:
  • Take the Packers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Broncos (+1)
  • Our NFL model projects 39 points, and we suggest taking the under

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers Preview

Facing off at 4:25 on Sunday, October 22nd is the Green Bay Packers and Denver Broncos. This game will be played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver CO. Carrying the game is CBS.

In this non-conference showdown, Green Bay is listed as 1 point road favorites against the Broncos. Continue reading for my tips and betting advice. Check out BetCoco for Denver Broncos – Green Bay Packers odds

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Packers and Broncos have gone in favor of the Packers, putting together a record of 6-4. In the last five head to head games between the Packers and Broncos, the average combined point total is 43 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 1-3-1.

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Broncos have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-3-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Broncos have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-5.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Green Bay has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 4-6 straight up.

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers Prediction

In their matchup against the Broncos, the Packers aim to build on their 2-3 record. This places them 2nd in the NFC-North and 11th in the NFC. Leading up to this week’s game, it’s worth mentioning that the Packers have been positioned as the underdog in all of their prior games. Their current ATS record stands at 3-2, accompanied by a scoring margin of 0. So far this season, the Packers hold an over/under record of 3-2. The average over/under betting line in their games has been 42.5 points, and their games have averaged a combined 45.2 points.

The Packers come in with an average of 22.6 points per game which is 13th in the NFL. Defensively, the Packers come into the game allowing an average of 194.4 passing yards per game and 143.4 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Green Bay ranks 8th among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 22.6 points on 337.8 yards.

Through six games, the Broncos are 1-5. In the AFC-West standings, they are in 4th place which puts them 16th in the AFC. In terms of the spread, the Broncos hold a record of 0-5-1. This has come on an average scoring margin of -11.8. To date this season, games involving Denver rank 2nd in total points. Their over/under record stands at 4-2, and the average over/under line for their games is 44.3 points.

On offense, the Broncos are currently averaging 21.5 points per game, ranking them 16th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, the Broncos give up an average of 268.0 passing yards and 172.3 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Denver is currently ranked 9th in the league. So far, they are giving up 33.3 points per game and 440.3 yards.

The Packers enter this game as 1-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 20-19. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Green Bay team has a 50% chance of prevailing over the Broncos.

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers Betting Tips

  • Take the Packers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Broncos (+1)
  • Our NFL model projects 39 points, and we suggest taking the under

Denver Broncos Injury Report

  • Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
  • Kareem Jackson – Neck (Probable)
  • Justin Simmons – Hip (Questionable)
  • Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
  • K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
  • Baron Browning – Knee (Questionable)
  • Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
  • Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
  • Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)

Green Bay Packers Injury Report

  • Jaire Alexander – Back (Questionable)
  • Elgton Jenkins – Knee (Questionable)
  • Devonte Wyatt – Knee (Questionable)
  • Darnell Savage – Calf (Questionable)
  • De’Vondre Campbell – Ankle (Questionable)
  • David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
  • Aaron Jones – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
  • Quay Walker – Knee (Questionable)
  • Eric Stokes – Foot (Questionable)
  • Zayne Anderson – Hamstring (Questionable)

 

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