Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
At 1:00 ET, the Buccaneers and Colts face each other at Lucas Oil Stadium in a week 12 NFL contest. CBS will broadcast the game, scheduled for Sunday, November 26th.
In this non-conference matchup, the Colts are favored by 2.5 to secure the win. Is betting on them to cover the spread the right choice, or should you consider the Buccaneers for better value? Keep reading to learn more. Check out BetCoco for Indianapolis Colts – Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds
Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Buccaneers and Colts did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Buccaneers have a record of 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 1-1-1 and finished with an over/under mark of 2-1. These games averaged a combined 59 points per contest.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
- Indianapolis has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 19 points per game while allowing 18. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Tampa Bay has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 1-4 straight up.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Colts have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
Tampa Bay is currently 3rd in the NFC-South this season, with an overall record of 4-6. In games outside the conference, they are 1-2 and in NFC games, they’ve gone 3-4. In terms of the spread, the Buccaneers hold a record of 7-3. This has come on an average scoring margin of -0.8. So far this season, Tampa Bay games are 24th in total points. Their over/under record is 2-8 and the average over/under line for their games is 41.4 points.
The Tampa Bay offense is currently ranked 21st in the league, averaging 19.2 points per contest. Going up against the Colts’ offense, the Buccaneers defense has allowed an average of 20 points per game. So far this season, they are 15th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 360.7 yards per contest.
Coming into their game against Buccaneers, the Colts are trying to improve on a 5-5 record. This mark has them at 3rd in the AFC-South and 9th in the AFC. The Colts’ have a scoring margin of -0.6 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 6-4. To date this season, games involving Indianapolis rank 5th in total points. Their over/under record stands at 6-4, and the average over/under line for their games is 43 points.
At home, the Colts’ offense has been excellent, averaging 9th in the league. Overall, their average of 24.2 points per contest is 9th in the league. Going up against the Buccaneers’ offense, the Colts defense has allowed an average of 24.8 points per game. So far this season, they are 10th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 358.5 yards per contest.
Based on projections, we have the Colts coming out on top by a score of 23-18. Our advanced model gives the Colts a 67% chance of winning the game.
Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Tips
- Take the Colts on the moneyline
- The Colts should also cover at -2.5
- Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under
Indianapolis Colts Injury Report
- Drew Ogletree – Foot (Questionable)
- Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
- Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
- Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
- Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
- Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
- JuJu Brents – Quadriceps (Questionable)
- Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
- Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
- Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
- Kwity Paye – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
- Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
- Grover Stewart – Suspended (Out)
- Ryan Kelly – Concussion (Questionable)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Jamel Dean – Foot (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- Lavonte David – Groin (Questionable)
- Matt Feiler – Knee (Questionable)
- Carlton Davis III – Hip (Questionable)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
- Ryan Neal – Thumb (Questionable)
- Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)