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new york giants vs new england patriots prediction 11/26/2023 sport preview

New York Giants vs New England Patriots Prediction & Betting Tips 11/26/2023

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New York Giants vs New England Patriots 11/26/2023:
  • Take the Patriots on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Giants (+3.5)
  • Projecting a combined 39 points, we like the over

New York Giants vs New England Patriots Preview

The Patriots will play host to the Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, with a kickoff scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on FOX.

The odds for this week 12 non-conference matchup have the Patriots as the 3.5 point favorite on the road. I have a strong take on how this plays out. Keep reading to get my best bets for this Sunday showdown. Check out BetCoco for New York Giants – New England Patriots odds

New York Giants vs New England Patriots Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last five times, the Patriots have faced off against the Giants on the road, they are above .500 at 3-1. Against the spread, the Giants have gone 2-1 the last three times they have faced off against the Patriots as the underdog.

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Patriots offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 24. New England posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • Across the Giants last five home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Giants have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. New York posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Patriots have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

New York Giants vs New England Patriots Prediction

In their game against the Giants, the Patriots will aim to improve their 2-8 record. This positions them 4th in the AFC-East and 16th in the AFC. In terms of the spread, the Patriots hold a record of 2-8. This has come on an average scoring margin of -9.7. So far this season, games involving New England have averaged 37.9 points, ranking them 27th in the NFL. They currently have an over/under record of 3-7, with an average OU line of 41.9 points.

New England’s offense comes in the game as the 29th in scoring at 14.1 PPG. In the first half, the Patriots have struggled with an average of 5.6 points. New England is sitting 22nd in points allowed so far. Heading into week 12, their opponents are putting up an average of 23.8 points per game, on 326.5 yards per contest.

Heading into week 12,New York is in 4th place in the NFC-East, sitting with an overall record of 3-8. In the NFC, they find themsevles in 13th place. When it comes to the spread, the Giants have a 3-7-1 record. Heading into week 12, their scoring margin is at -12.4 (per game). The average over/under line for the Giants this season is currently 41.2 points. So far, their games have averaged 39.5 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 3-8.

On offense, the Giants are averaging 13.5 points per game, putting them 30th in the NFL. The Giants are currently 10th in tackles for loss and 19th in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 25.9 points per game and gaining 371.6 yards per contest against them.

With the Patriots being favored by 3.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 20-19 in favor of the Patriots. Our analytics assigns New England a 52% chance of defeating the Giants.

New York Giants vs New England Patriots Betting Tips

  • Take the Patriots on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Giants (+3.5)
  • Projecting a combined 39 points, we like the over

New York Giants Injury Report

  • Bryce Ford-Wheaton – Knee (Out)
  • Evan Neal – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Joshua Ezeudu – Toe (Out)
  • Eric Gray – Calf (Out)
  • Aaron Robinson – Knee (Out)
  • Darius Slayton – Arm (Questionable)
  • Tommy Sweeney – Illness (Out)
  • Daniel Jones – Knee (Out)
  • Gary Brightwell – Hamstring (Out)
  • Matt Peart – Shoulder (Out)
  • Shane Lemieux – Biceps/groin (Out)
  • Bobby McCain – Illness (Questionable)
  • Darren Waller – Hamstring (Out)
  • Graham Gano – Knee (Out)
  • Tyrod Taylor – Ribs (Out)
  • Jarrad Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Adoree’ Jackson – Concussion (Questionable)
  • J.C. Hassenauer – Triceps (Out)

New England Patriots Injury Report

  • Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
  • Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
  • Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
  • Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson – Back (Questionable)
  • Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
  • Mac Jones – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Riley Reiff – Knee (Questionable)
  • DeVante Parker – Head (Questionable)
  • Trent Brown – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
  • J.C. Jackson – Personal (Questionable)
  • Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
  • Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)

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