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pittsburgh steelers vs green bay packers prediction & betting tips 11/12/2023 sport preview

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction & Betting Tips 11/12/2023

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Selections

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers 11/12/2023:
  • We like the Packers on the moneyline (+136)
  • The Packers are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers Preview

At 1:00 ET, the Packers and Steelers clash at Acrisure Stadium for a week 10 NFL matchup. Catch the action on CBS, with the game set for Sunday, November 12th.

Pittsburgh comes into this non-conference showdown, as the 3 point home favorite. Do they have what it takes to pick up the win and cover? Find out below. Check out BetCoco for Pittsburgh Steelers – Green Bay Packers odds

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Last season, the Packers and Steelers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Steelers have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Packers went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 56 points per game.

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Pittsburgh has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Packers have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Steelers have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction

As they face the Steelers, the Packers will be looking to improve upon their 3-5 record. This has them positioned 3rd in the NFC-North and 11th in the NFC. Thus far this season, the Packers hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 4-4. Their average scoring margin in the current season is +0.1. The Packers are currently working with an average over/under line of 41.9 points this season. Their games have been averaging 39.9 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 3-5.

On offense, the Packers are at 20 points per game, putting them 20th in the NFL. In terms of defense, the Packers hold the 9th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 11th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 19.9 points and gain 320.1 yards per game against them.

Looking at the AFC-North standings, the Steelers are in 2nd place on a record of 5-3. In the AFC, Pittsburgh is in 5th place heading into week 10. This season, the Steelers find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 5-3. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at -3.8. Throughout this season, Pittsburgh games have averaged 37 points, ranking them 28th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 1-7, with an average OU line of 40.6 points.

Pittsburgh’s offense comes in with an average of 16.6 points per game, which is currently 29th in the league. On the defensive front, the Steelers currently hold the 8th position in tackles for loss and rank 6th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 20.4 points and 377.2 yards per game against them.

Even though they are considered 3-point underdogs, our projection points to a 19-18 win for the Packers. Based on our simulations, the Packers holds a 54% probability of taking down the Steelers.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers Betting Tips

  • We like the Packers on the moneyline (+136)
  • The Packers are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under

Pittsburgh Steelers Injury Report

  • Renell Wren – Achilles (Out)
  • Cole Holcomb – Knee (Out)
  • Pat Freiermuth – Hamstring (Out)
  • Montravius Adams – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Cory Trice Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Alfonzo Graham – Shoulder (Out)

Green Bay Packers Injury Report

  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
  • Christian Watson – Upper Body (Questionable)
  • Quay Walker – Groin (Questionable)
  • Rudy Ford – Calf (Questionable)
  • Kenny Clark – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Darnell Savage – Calf (Out)
  • Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Out)

 

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