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new england patriots vs indianapolis colts prediction & betting tips 11/12/2023 sport preview

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction & Betting Tips 11/12/2023

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New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts 11/12/2023:
  • Take the Colts on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Patriots (+1)
  • Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Preview

On Sunday, November 12th at 9:30 PM ET, the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, None. NFLN is carrying television coverage the for game.

This week’s AFC clash features the Colts as 1 point road favorites. Can they secure a win on the road and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for New England Patriots – Indianapolis Colts odds

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In their only head to head matchup last season, the Patriots won by a score of 26-3. In their only head-to-head matchup, the team’s scored 29 points which fell below the over/under line of 40. The Patriots covered the spread in last year’s matchup. In last year’s win, the Patriots finished with 203 of total offense, with 70 coming in the running game and 133 through the air. On the other side, the Colts ended the game with 121 of offense.

The last three times that the Colts have faced off vs. the Patriots as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. Against the spread, the Patriots have gone 2-1 the last three times they have faced off against the Colts as the underdog.

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

The Colts enter their matchup against the Patriots with a 4-5 record. This mark puts them 3rd in AFC-South. In the AFC overall standings, they are 12th. The current scoring margin for the Colts’ is -1.1, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 5-4. So far this season, the Colts hold an over/under record of 6-3. The average over/under betting line in their games has been 43.2 points, and their games have averaged a combined 52.7 points.

Indianapolis’ offense is 7th in the league, with an average of 25.8 points per contest. In terms of turnovers, the Indianapolis defense has 14 takeaways, which is 4th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 26.9 points per game and 360.6 yards.

The Patriots’ week 10 matchup vs. Indianapolis will be their 6th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 1-4 and are 2-7 overall. In the AFC-East, New England is 4th and 16th in the AFC. The Patriots’ scoring margin thus far is currently at -10.3. This has contributed to an ATS record of 2-7. This season, the Patriots have an over/under record and have an average margin of -1.6 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 40.3 points per game.

Regarding their offense, the Patriots have an average 15 points per game, which places them 31st in the NFL. Looking at New England’s defense, they currently stand 24th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 25.3 points per game and 333.4 yards per contest against them.

With the Colts being favored by 1, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 23-22 in favor of the Colts. Our analytics assigns Indianapolis a 52% chance of defeating the Patriots.

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Tips

  • Take the Colts on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Patriots (+1)
  • Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over

New England Patriots Injury Report

  • Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
  • Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
  • Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Riley Reiff – Knee (Out)
  • DeVante Parker – Head (Questionable)
  • Trent Brown – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
  • Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
  • Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
  • Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
  • Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
  • Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
  • Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)

Indianapolis Colts Injury Report

  • Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
  • Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Josh Downs – Knee (Questionable)
  • Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
  • JuJu Brents – Quadriceps (Questionable)
  • Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
  • Drew Ogletree – Foot (Questionable)
  • Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
  • Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
  • Zaire Franklin – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tony Brown – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
  • Grover Stewart – Suspended (Out)
  • Braden Smith – Hip/wrist (Questionable)
  • Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
  • Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)

 

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