Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Preview
On Sunday, October 29th at 1:00 PM ET, the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots face off at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. CBS will carry the TV coverage for the game.
In this AFC East game, the Dolphins are listed as 9.5 point home favorites. Will they come out with a win at home and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Miami Dolphins – New England Patriots odds
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last year, the Dolphins and Patriots split their head-to-head matchups, with each team going 1-1. Against the spread, the Dolphins had the edge in last year’s head to head matchups, going 2-0. On the over/under, the team’s averaged 35.5 points per game leading to an OU mark of 1-1. Offensively, the Dolphins averaged 320 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Patriots at 260 yards.
Last season, the Patriots and Dolphins did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Dolphins have the leg up at 2-1. The Dolphins also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 36 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Prediction
As they prepare to face the Dolphins, the Patriots hold a 2-5 record. Within the AFC-East, they currently sit in 4th place and are 15th place in the AFC. The Patriots have put together a record of 2-5 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of -10.9. Looking at their over/under lines, the Patriots have seen an average line of 41.4 points. Their games have averaged 39.7 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 2-5.
The New England offense is currently positioned 28th in the league, scoring an average of 14.4 points per contest. On defense, the Patriots are currently positioned 14th in tackles for loss and 11th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 25.3 points per game and gaining 311.3 yards per contest.
Going into this week 8 AFC matchup, the Dolphins have an overall record of 5-2. In the AFC-East standings, the Dolphins are in 1st place and 2nd in the AFC. So far, they have gone 3-1 against AFC opponents and 3-0 at home. When it comes to the spread, the Dolphins come in at 5-2. Going into week 8, their scoring margin per game is +7.6. The Dolphins come in with an over/under record of 4-3. Their games have have had an average over/under betting line of 49.1 points, with an average combined score of 61 points per game.
For this season, the Miami offense has an average of 34.3 points per game, placing them at 1st in the league. On the defensive side of the ball, the Dolphins give up an average of 233.0 passing yards and 112.3 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Miami is currently ranked 3rd in the league. So far, they are giving up 26.7 points per game and 345.3 yards.
With the Dolphins being favored by 9.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 28-21 in favor of the Dolphins. Our analytics assigns Miami a 70% chance of defeating the Patriots.
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Betting Tips
- Take the Dolphins on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Patriots (+9.5)
- Projecting a combined 49 points, we like the over
Miami Dolphins Injury Report
- De’Von Achane – Knee (Out)
- Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
- Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
- Connor Williams – Groin (Questionable)
- Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
- David Long Jr. – Head (Questionable)
- Terron Armstead – Knee (Out)
- Xavien Howard – Groin (Questionable)
- Jalen Ramsey – Knee (Questionable)
- River Cracraft – Shoulder (Out)
- Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
- Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Out)
New England Patriots Injury Report
- Keion White – Concussion (Questionable)
- Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
- Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
- Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
- Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
- Riley Reiff – Knee (Out)
- Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster – Concussion (Questionable)
- Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
- Josh Uche – Knee (Questionable)
- Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
- Vederian Lowe – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kayshon Boutte – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)
