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san francisco 49ers vs cincinnati bengals 10/29/2023 sport preview

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction & Betting Tips 10/29/2023

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San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals 10/29/2023:
  • Take the 49ers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bengals (+5.5)
  • Projecting a combined 51 points, we like the over

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview

At 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 29th, the Bengals travel to take on the 49ers. This NFL week 8 matchup will take place at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara with CBS carrying television coverage.

In a non-conference matchup, the 49ers are 5.5 point favorites at home. Keep reading to get my take on who wins and covers on Sunday. Check out BetCoco for San Francisco 49ers – Cincinnati Bengals odds

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last three times that the 49ers have faced off vs. the Bengals as the favorite, they have gone 3-0. In the previous three head-head to matchups between the Bengals and 49ers, the 49ers have gone 2-1 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 6 points per game.

  • Across their ten previous road games, Cincinnati has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 21 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the 49ers have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-5-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 24 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Bengals have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, San Francisco has an ATS mark of 7-2-1 while going 8-2 straight up.

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

At 3-3, the Bengals are 10th in the AFC and 4th in the AFC-North. This will be Cincinnati’s 4th road game this season, where they have gone 1-2. Against the spread, the Bengals have a record of 2-4. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -4.5. This season, the average over/under line for games involving Cincinnati is 44.9 points. They currently hold an over/under record of 2-4, and their average margin against the over/under is -7.1.

With an average of 16.7 points per contest, the Cincinnati offense currently ranks 25th in the league. So far the Bengals’ defense has given up an average of 355.8 yards per game and 21.2 points per contest (16th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 61.3% and have given up eight passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 29th in the NFL.

In week 8, San Francisco is in 1st place in the NFC-West with a 5-2 record. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 3rd place. The 49ers currently hold a 4-2-1 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is +13.1. This season, the 49ers have an over/under record and have an average margin of +1.5 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 44.3 points per game.

Offensively, the 49ers have an average of 28.7 points per game, which positions them 2nd in the NFL. The 49ers currently rank 8th in tackles for loss and 9th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 15.6 points per game and 302.9 yards per contest against them.

Coming in as 5.5 point favorites, our projections have the 49ers picking up a 28-23 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives San Francisco 65% chance of taking down the Bengals.

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals Betting Tips

  • Take the 49ers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bengals (+5.5)
  • Projecting a combined 51 points, we like the over

San Francisco 49ers Injury Report

  • Samuel Womack III – Knee (Out)
  • Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
  • Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Deebo Samuel – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Trent Williams – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)

Cincinnati Bengals Injury Report

  • Orlando Brown Jr. – Groin (Questionable)
  • Devin Harper – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Akeem Davis-Gaither – Knee (Questionable)
  • Devin Cochran – Knee (Out)
  • Charlie Jones – Thumb (Out)
  • Devonnsha Maxwell – Knee (Out)

 

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