Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Preview
On Sunday, October 1st, the Jaguars are hosting the Falcons at Wembley Stadium. This week 4 NFL football matchup kicks off at 9:30 ET with ESPN carrying the television coverage.
In this non-conference clash, Jacksonville comes in as 3 point road favorites against the Falcons. Check out my recommendations and betting analysis by continuing to read. Check out BetCoco for Jacksonville Jaguars – Atlanta Falcons odds
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Jaguars have faced off vs. the Falcons as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In the previous three head-head to matchups between the Falcons and Jaguars, the Falcons have gone 3-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 8 points per game.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 4-5-1 while averaging 16 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
- Jacksonville has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 15. The team also performed well vs the spread at 5-0.
- The last ten games that Jacksonville was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 6-4 straight up.
- Atlanta has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
In their game against the Jaguars, the Falcons will aim to improve their 2-1 record. This positions them 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. The Falcons have a 1-2 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is +0.3. With an over/under record of 1-2, the Falcons come in with an average margin of -6.2 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have averaged 36.3 points per game (combined).
The Falcons come in with an average 18.3 points per game on offense, which has them 19th in the NFL. Atlanta’s defense has come up with four turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 6th in the NFL. Heading into week 4, they are allowing 18 points per game and 287.7 yards.
At home, the Jaguars have a record of 0-2 this season and are 1-2 overall. When looking at the standings, Jacksonville is 11th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC-South. On the road, Jacksonville has gone 1-0 thus far. In terms of the spread, the Jaguars hold a record of 1-2. This has come on an average scoring margin of -6. The average over/under line for Jacksonville games this season is 46.5 points. Their over/under record stands at 2-1, with an average margin against the over/under of -2.5.
On the offensive front, the Jaguars are currently averaging 19 points per game, positioning them 17th in the NFL. The Jacksonville defense has six takeaways this season, positioning them 4th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 25 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 348.3 yards.
According to our analysis, we anticipate the Jaguars to win this one with a projected score of 24-20. Our advanced model is giving the Jaguars a 63% likelihood of securing the win.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Tips
- Take the Jaguars on the moneyline
- The Jaguars should also cover at -3
- Projecting a combined 44 points, we like the over
Jacksonville Jaguars Injury Report
- DaVon Hamilton – Back (Out)
- Dawuane Smoot – Achilles (Out)
- Zay Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- Cam Robinson – Suspension (Out)
- Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
- Gregory Junior – Hamstring (Out)
- Anton Harrison – Ankle (Questionable)
- Antonio Johnson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Folorunso Fatukasi – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Andrew Wingard – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Josh Allen – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Devin Lloyd – Thumb (Questionable)
- Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
- Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
- Leonard Taylor – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jamal Agnew – Quad (Questionable)
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Questionable)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Penny Hart – Concussion (Out)
- Cordarrelle Patterson – Thigh (Questionable)
