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green bay packers vs detroit lions prediction & tips 9/28/2023 sport preview

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Prediction & Tips 9/28/2023

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Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions 9/28/2023:
  • Take the Lions on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Packers (+1.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Preview

At 8:15 ET, it’s a week 4 NFL battle between the Packers and Lions at Lambeau Field. Don’t miss it on AMAZON as the game takes place on Thursday, September 28th.

Detroit comes into this NFC North matchup, as the 1.5 point road favorite. See who I got coming out on top and covering the spread on Thursday. Check out BetCoco for Green Bay Packers – Detroit Lions odds

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Last season, the Lions and Packers met up two times, with the Lions going 2-0. Against the spread, the Lions went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 0-2 on an average of 30 points per game. Offensively, the Packers averaged 340 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Lions at 288.5 yards.

The Lions and Packers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Lions have a record of 3-0. The Lions also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 42 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Prediction

Looking at the NFC-North standings, the Lions are in 2nd place on a record of 2-1. In the NFC, Detroit is in 6th place heading into week 4. Taking a look at the Lions’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +3. This has resulted in an ATS record of 2-1. The average over/under line for Detroit games this season is currently 48.8 points. They have an over/under record of 1-2 with an average margin against the over/under of -3.8.

So far this season, the Detroit offense has been averaging 24 points per game, ranking them 11th in the league. On defense, the Lions come into the game ranked 9th in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 21 points per game vs. them along with an average of 297.3 yards per contest.

Leading up to their matchup with Lions, the Packers are 2-1. They currently sit 1st in the NFC-North and are in 4th place in the NFC. Coming into this week’s game, the Packers have been the underdog in all of their games. Their current ATS record is 3-0 on an a scoring margin of +6. This season Green Bay games are 9th in total points. Their over/under record is 2-1, and the average over/under line for their games stands at 40.8 points.

The Packers come in with an average 26.7 points per game on offense, which has them 7th in the NFL. When it comes to turnovers, the Green Bay defense has forced three takeaways, putting them the 7th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 20.7 points per game and yielding 336.3 yards.

Coming in as 1.5 point favorites, our projections have the Lions picking up a 21-20 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives Detroit 55% chance of taking down the Packers.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Betting Tips

  • Take the Lions on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Packers (+1.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under

Green Bay Packers Injury Report

  • Zach Tom – Knee (Questionable)
  • Zayne Anderson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Christian Watson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Eric Stokes – Foot (Out)
  • De’Vondre Campbell – Ankle (Questionable)
  • David Bakhtiari – Knee (Questionable)
  • Aaron Jones – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Elgton Jenkins – Knee (mcl) (Questionable)
  • Rashan Gary – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jaire Alexander – Back (Questionable)
  • Carrington Valentine – Biceps (Questionable)

Detroit Lions Injury Report

  • Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
  • Frank Ragnow – Toe (Probable)
  • C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Knee/hamstring (Questionable)
  • Jason Cabinda – Knee (Questionable)
  • David Montgomery – Thigh (Questionable)
  • Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
  • Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Knee (Questionable)
  • Taylor Decker – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Khalil Dorsey – Illness (Out)
  • Julian Okwara – Arm (Out)
  • Jonah Jackson – Thigh (Questionable)
  • Matt Nelson – Ankle (Doubtful)
  • Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
  • Josh Paschal – Knee (Out)
  • Kerby Joseph – Hip (Questionable)
  • Jameson Williams – Suspension (Out)
  • James Houston – Ankle (Out)

 

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