Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Preview
This week 17 NFL showdown between the Saints and Buccaneers can be found on FOX at 1:00 (12/31/23). The game will be held at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay (FL).
Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Buccaneers – New Orleans Saints odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Buccaneers are hoping to build off last year’s success over the Saints as they went 2-0 in their head-to-head meetings. The Saints and Buccaneers split their games vs. the spread last season. Together they combined to average 31.5 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 0-2. On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Saints averaging 303 yards per game compared to the Buccaneers at 305.
Last season, the Saints and Buccaneers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Buccaneers have the leg up at 3-0. The Buccaneers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 32 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction
This season, the Saints have achieved an overall record of 7-8, putting them 3rd in the NFC-South. This includes a 1-2 record as underdogs and 6-6 when they are favored. The Saints’ have a scoring margin of +2.3 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 4-10-1. This season, games featuring the Saints have averaged 41.9 points, placing them at 20th in the NFL. They currently hold an over/under record of 5-10, with an average OU line of 41.5 points.
The New Orleans offense is currently ranked 12th in the league, averaging 22.1 points per contest. The Saints’ defense has, on average, allowed 321.6 yards and 19.8 points per contest (9th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 58.2% completion rate and yielded 18 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 25th in the NFL.
Through 15 games, the Buccaneers are 8-7. In the NFC-South standings, they are in 1st place which puts them 4th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Buccaneers have a 10-5 record. Heading into week 17, their scoring margin is at +1.6 (per game). Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 6-9 so far this year. Their average over/under betting line stands at 41.5 points, and their games have averaged a combined 41.9 points per game.
Tampa Bay’s offense has been getting off to slow starts this season, ranking 25th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 21.7 points per game (15th). Defensively, Tampa Bay is 11th in points allowed. So far, opponents are averaging 20.1 points per game against them on 356.2 yards allowed per contest.
The Buccaneers enter this game as 3-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 21-20. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Tampa Bay team has a 54% chance of prevailing over the Saints.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Betting Tips
- Take the Buccaneers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Saints (+3)
- Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Rakim Jarrett – Quad (Questionable)
- Ko Kieft – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Mike Greene – Calf (Out)
- Carlton Davis III – Concussion (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
New Orleans Saints Injury Report
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
- Lonnie Johnson Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Malcolm Roach – Knee (Out)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Michael Thomas – Knee (Out)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Marcus Maye – Shoulder (Out)
- Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Questionable)
- Marshon Lattimore – Ankle (Out)
- Nick Saldiveri – Shoulder (Out)
- Isaiah Foskey – Quad (Questionable)
- Kendre Miller – Ankle (Questionable)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Questionable)
