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tampa bay buccaneers vs jacksonville jaguars prediction 12/24/2023 sport preview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction & Betting Tips 12/24/2023

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars 12/24/2023:
  • We like the Jaguars on the moneyline (-110)
  • The Jaguars are also our pick on the spread at +1
  • Our NFL model projects 43 points, and we suggest taking the under

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview

At 4:05 ET, the Jaguars and Buccaneers clash at Raymond James Stadium for a week 16 NFL matchup. Catch the action on CBS, with the game set for Sunday, December 24th.

Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jacksonville Jaguars odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last three times that the Buccaneers have faced off vs. the Jaguars as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. Looking back over the previous three times that the Jaguars and Buccaneers have faced off, they have combined to average 53 points per game and have an over/under record of 2-1.

  • In their last five road games, Jacksonville has averaged 25 points per game while allowing 21 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 27 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Jacksonville has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Buccaneers have gone 4-5-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

Coming into this week’s matchup, the Jaguars will be looking to snap their three game losing streak. Overall, they are 8-6 and in 1st in the AFC-South. Jacksonville comes into this one having not covered the spread in two straight games at home. Their overall ATS record for the season is 8-6. Throughout this season, Jacksonville games have averaged 45.1 points, ranking them 13th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 7-7, with an average OU line of 43.6 points.

At 22.8 points per contest, the Jacksonville offense is 10th in the league. On the defensive front, the Jaguars enter the game as the 20th ranked team in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 22.4 points per game against them, along with an average of 360.1 yards per contest.

With an overall record of 7-7, the Buccaneers are 1st in the NFC-South. This record also has them 4th in the NFC. At home, Tampa Bay is 3-3 compared to a record of 4-4 on the road. This season, the Buccaneers find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 9-5. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +0.4. The average over/under line for the Buccaneers this season is currently 41.3 points. So far, their games have averaged 41.9 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 6-8.

Tampa Bay’s offense comes in with an average of 21.1 points per game, which is currently 17th in the league. On defense, the Buccaneers come into the game ranked 6th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 20.7 points per game vs. them along with an average of 359.9 yards per contest.

Even though they are considered 1-point underdogs, our projection points to a 23-20 win for the Jaguars. Based on our simulations, the Jaguars holds a 55% probability of taking down the Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Tips

  • We like the Jaguars on the moneyline (-110)
  • The Jaguars are also our pick on the spread at +1
  • Our NFL model projects 43 points, and we suggest taking the under

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Rakim Jarrett – Quad (Out)
  • Mike Greene – Calf (Out)
  • Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ryan Neal – Back (Questionable)
  • Devin White – Foot (Questionable)
  • William Gholston – Knee (Questionable)
  • Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
  • Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
  • Carlton Davis III – Groin (Questionable)

Jacksonville Jaguars Injury Report

  • Cam Robinson – Knee (Out)
  • Zay Jones – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Christian Kirk – Groin (Out)
  • Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Trevor Lawrence – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Andre Cisco – Groin (Questionable)
  • Tyson Campbell – Quad (Questionable)
  • Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
  • Christian Braswell – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
  • Brenton Strange – Foot (Questionable)

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