Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Preview
On Sunday, October 15th, the Buccaneers are hosting the Lions at Raymond James Stadium. This week 6 NFL football matchup kicks off at 4:25 ET with FOX carrying the television coverage.
The Lions head into the game as the 3 point favorite to pick up the win. I handicapped this game for you, keep reading to get my analysis of this matchup. Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Detroit Lions odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last five head to head matchups, the Buccaneers have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Lions and Buccaneers, the Lions hold the edge with an ATS record of 6-4.
- Across their last three road contests, Detroit has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 25 points per game.
- Across their last three home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 21 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- Detroit has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction
On the road, the Lions have a record of 2-0 this season and are 4-1 overall. When looking at the standings, Detroit is 3rd in the NFC and 1st in the NFC-North. On the road, Detroit has gone 2-0 thus far. The Lions have a 4-1 ATS record so far. As we enter week 6, their scoring margin per game is +8.2. To date this season, games involving Detroit rank 6th in total points. Their over/under record stands at 3-2, and the average over/under line for their games is 47 points.
Offensively, the Lions have an average of 29.6 points per game, which is 4th in the NFL. On defense, the Lions are currently positioned 7th in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 21.4 points per game and gaining 292.8 yards per contest.
Having played four games, the Buccaneers have a record of 3-1. This puts them at 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. As the underdog, Tampa Bay has gone 2-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 1-0 as the favorite. At home, the Buccaneers are 1-1 ATS and 2-0 vs. the spread on the road. This season, games featuring the Buccaneers have averaged 38 points, placing them at 22nd in the NFL. They currently hold an over/under record of 1-3, with an average OU line of 42.5 points.
In terms of offense, the Buccaneers are at 21 points per game, ranking them 18th in the NFL. With a matchup against the Lions’ offense, the Buccaneers defense has allowed an average of 17 points per game so far. They currently are 11th in quarterback hits and are allowing 318.5 yards per contest.
With the Lions being favored by 3, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 21-20 in favor of the Lions. Our analytics assigns Detroit a 51% chance of defeating the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Betting Tips
- Take the Lions on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Buccaneers (+3)
- Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Luke Goedeke – Calf (Probable)
- Shaquil Barrett – Illness (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- Mike Evans – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
Detroit Lions Injury Report
- Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
- Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
- Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
- James Houston – Ankle (Out)
- Josh Paschal – Knee (Out)
- Jahmyr Gibbs – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
- Khalil Dorsey – Illness (Questionable)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown – Abdomen (Probable)
- James Mitchell – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Brian Branch – Ankle (Questionable)
- Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
- Taylor Decker – Ankle (Probable)
- Jonah Jackson – Ankle (Questionable)
- Frank Ragnow – Toe (Questionable)
- Sam LaPorta – Calf (Questionable)
