Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Preview
Taking the field at 1:00 on Sunday, October 22nd is the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay FL. Carrying the game on television is FOX.
The Buccaneers are favored by 2.5 points at home in this NFC South contest. Can they secure a home victory and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Atlanta Falcons odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Falcons and Buccaneers each picked up one win apiece. Against the spread, the Falcons went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 1-1 on an average of 41.5 points per game. On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Falcons averaging 321.5 yards per game compared to the Buccaneers at 321.
In the last five head to head matchups, the Buccaneers have had the upper-hand, going 4-1. In the last three games as the favorite against the Falcons, the Buccaneers have put together a 2-1 vs. the spread.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
Taking on the Buccaneers, the Falcons will look to improve on their record of 3-3. This mark has them in 2nd in the NFC-South and 9th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Falcons come in at 1-5. Going into week 7, their scoring margin per game is -3.5. With an over/under record of 1-5, the Falcons come in with an average margin of -5.8 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 36.5 points per game.
Atlanta’s offense comes in with an average of 16.5 points per game, which is currently 25th in the league. In terms of defense, the Falcons hold the 15th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 12th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 20 points and gain 278.2 yards per game against them.
Through five games, the Buccaneers are 3-2. In the NFC-South standings, they are in 1st place which puts them 4th in the NFC. The Buccaneers’ have a scoring margin of +0.4 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 3-2. Tampa Bay games this season have averaged 35.6 points, which is 29th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 1-4, with an average OU line of 42.6 points.
Coming into week 7, the Buccaneers offense is 22nd in the league at 18 points per contest. Heading into this week’s matchup with the Falcons, the Buccaneers defense has given up an average of 17.6 points per game. They are currently 14th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 330.8 yards per contest.
The Buccaneers enter this game as 2.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 19-18. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Tampa Bay team has a 55% chance of prevailing over the Falcons.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Tips
- Take the Buccaneers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Falcons (+2.5)
- Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Vita Vea – Foot (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Keilahn Harris – Undisclosed (Out)
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Parker Hesse – Undisclosed (Out)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
