San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Preview
At 8:15 ET, the Packers and 49ers square off at Levi’s Stadium in a Divisional round NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to FOX, with the game being played on Saturday, January 20th.
San Francisco heads into this NFC matchup as the 9.5-point favorite to come away with the win. Does this mean they are a lock to win? Read on to get my take on this matchup. Check out BetCoco for San Francisco 49ers – Green Bay Packers odds
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the 49ers have faced off vs. the Packers as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. Across the last three head-to-head matchups between the Packers and 49ers, the teams have averaged 43 points per game with an over/under record of 2-1. The last three times they have faced off with the 49ers as the home team, the OU record is 1-2.
- In their last three road games, Green Bay has averaged 38 points per game while allowing 24. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Across the 49ers’ last ten home games, the team averaged 28 points per game while allowing 17. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-3-1, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Packers have a strong straight-up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the 49ers have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
The Packers head into their 11th road game of the season with a road record of 5-5 and have rattled off two straight wins away from home. Overall, the Packers are 9-8 and in 2nd place in the NFC-North. With a scoring margin of +2.7, the Packers’ have achieved an ATS record of 10-8 so far. The Packers are currently working with an average over/under line of 42.6 points this season. Their games have been averaging 45.2 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 11-7.
Coming into the Divisional round the Packers offense is 8th in the league at 23.9 points per contest. Facing the 49ers this week, the Packers defense has allowed an average of 21.2 points per game. They currently rank 9th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 344.8 yards per contest.
Heading into their 17th game of the season, the 49ers are 12-5 overall and 5-3 on the road. The 49ers are looking to snap a two-game home losing streak. In the NFC-West, they are in NFC-West place. Thus far, the 49ers have a 9-7-1 record against the spread. It’s worth noting that they have been favored in each of their games. So far this season, the 49ers have been given an average over/under line of 43.9 points. Their games have averaged 46.4 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 9-7-1.
At home, the 49ers’ offense has been excellent, averaging 6th in the league. Overall, their average of 28.9 points per contest is 2nd in the league. On the defensive side of the ball, the 49ers give up an average of 214.2 passing yards and 89.7 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, San Francisco is currently ranked 7th in the league. So far, they are giving up 17.5 points per game and 303.9 yards.
The 49ers enter this game as 9.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 28-23. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggest that the San Francisco team has a 67% chance of prevailing over the Packers.
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Betting Tips
- Take the 49ers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Packers (+9.5)
- Projecting a combined 51 points, we like the over
San Francisco 49ers Injury Report
- Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
- Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)
- Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Samuel Womack III – Knee (Out)
Green Bay Packers Injury Report
- David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
- Aaron Jones – Hamstring (Out)
- Eric Stokes – Foot (Out)
- Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
- Christian Watson – Hamstring (Out)
- Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
