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new york jets vs atlanta falcons prediction 12/03/2023 sport preview

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Betting Tips 12/3/2023

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New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons 12/3/2023:
  • We like the Jets on the moneyline (+124)
  • The Jets are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Projecting a combined 37 points, we like the over

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons Preview

Kickoff for the Falcons and Jets matchup on Sunday, December 3rd is set for 1:00 ET. This week 13 NFL showdown will be televised on FOX.

Atlanta enters this non-conference game against the Jets as 3 point road favorites. Keep reading to get my analysis and betting recommendations. Check out BetCoco for New York Jets – Atlanta Falcons odds

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Falcons and Jets did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Falcons have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Jets went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 49 points per game.

  • In their last five games away from home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 15 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Jets last five home games, the team averaged 14 points per game while allowing 21. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-3-1, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Jets have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Falcons have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

In their game against the Jets, the Falcons will aim to improve their 5-6 record. This positions them 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. The current scoring margin for the Falcons’ is -1.7, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 3-8. The average over/under line for Atlanta games this season is 41 points. Their over/under record stands at 4-7, with an average margin against the over/under of -0.5.

In terms of offense, the Falcons are at 19.4 points per game, ranking them 19th in the NFL. Going up against the Jets’ offense, the Falcons defense has allowed an average of 21.1 points per game. So far this season, they are 14th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 321.1 yards per contest.

The Jets’ week 13 matchup vs. Atlanta will be their 7th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 2-4 and are 4-7 overall. In the AFC-East, New York is 3rd and 15th in the AFC. The Jets’ current scoring margin stands at -6.8, which has them coming in with a 4-6-1 ATS record. Coming in with an over/under record of 4-7, the Jets have an average margin of -3.2 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 36.5 points per game.

Offensively, the Jets have an average of 14.8 points per game, which is 26th in the NFL. Thus far, the Jets’ defense has given up an average of 323.5 yards per game and 21.6 points per contest (16th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 63.4% and have surrendered 13 passing touchdowns. When it comes to run defense, they rank 31st in the NFL.

Even though they are 3 point underdogs, we see the Jets winning this game by a score of 19-18. After running simulations of the game, the Jets have a win probability of 55% vs. the Falcons.

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Tips

  • We like the Jets on the moneyline (+124)
  • The Jets are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Projecting a combined 37 points, we like the over

New York Jets Injury Report

  • Alijah Vera-Tucker – Achilles (Out)
  • Michael Carter II – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Kenny Yeboah – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Bradlee Anae – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Mekhi Becton – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • Sam Eguavoen – Hip (Questionable)
  • Justin Hardee – Hamstring (Out)
  • Ifeadi Odenigbo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Chuck Clark – Knee (Out)
  • Aaron Rodgers – Achilles (Out)
  • Al Woods – Achilles (Out)
  • Wes Schweitzer – Calf (Out)
  • Connor McGovern – Knee (Out)

Atlanta Falcons Injury Report

  • Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
  • Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
  • LaCale London – Knee (Out)
  • Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
  • Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
  • Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
  • Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
  • Mack Hollins – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)

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