New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Preview
On Sunday, January 7th at 1:00 PM ET, the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA. CBS is carrying television coverage the for game.
h Check out BetCoco for New Orleans Saints – Atlanta Falcons odds
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Going back to last season, the Saints and Falcons faced off two times, with the Saints going 2-0. Against the spread, the Falcons went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 1-1 on an average of 46 points per game. On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Falcons averaging 368 yards per game compared to the Saints at 366.5.
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Saints and Falcons have gone in favor of the Saints, putting together a record of 7-3. As the underdog, the Falcons have performed well against the spread vs. the Saints, going 3-0.
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
In the NFC-South standings, the Falcons are in 3rd place with a record of 7-9. Within the NFC, Atlanta is 12th, heading into week 18. Atlanta’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -1.3. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 5-11. With an over/under record of 6-10, the Falcons come in with an average margin of -0.8 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 39.3 points per game.
At 19 points per contest, the Atlanta offense is 23rd in the league. The Falcons defense comes into the game with rankings of 12th in tackles for loss and 12th in sacks. Their opponents have been scoring 20.3 points per game and gaining 316.1 yards (per game).
Going into week 18, New Orleans is 2nd in the NFC-South with an overall record of 8-8. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 9th place. The Saints’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +2.8. This has contributed to an ATS record of 5-10-1. Looking at their over/under lines, the Saints have seen an average line of 41.6 points. Their games have averaged 41.5 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 5-11.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Saints currently hold an average of 22.1 points per game, which places them at 13th in the NFL. Defensively, New Orleans is 6th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 19.4 points per game while gaining 323.3 yards per contest.
Coming in as 3.5 point favorites, our projections have the Saints picking up a 20-18 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives New Orleans 56% chance of taking down the Falcons.
New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Tips
- Take the Saints on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Falcons (+3.5)
- Our NFL model projects 38 points, and we suggest taking the under
New Orleans Saints Injury Report
- Michael Thomas – Knee (Out)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Marcus Maye – Shoulder (Out)
- Marshon Lattimore – Ankle (Out)
- Alvin Kamara – Ankle (Questionable)
- Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
- Landon Young – Knee (Questionable)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Questionable)
- Malcolm Roach – Knee (Out)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Lonnie Johnson Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Nephi Sewell – Knee (Out)
- Nick Saldiveri – Shoulder (Out)
- Isaiah Foskey – Quad (Questionable)
- Kendre Miller – Ankle (Questionable)
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
- Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Drew Dalman – Ankle (Questionable)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Kentavius Street – Shoulder (Out)
- Mike Hughes – Concussion (Questionable)
- Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
- Keith Smith – Ankle (Out)
