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new england patriots vs washington commanders 11/5/2023 sport preview

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders Prediction & Betting Tips 11/5/2023

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New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders 11/5/2023:
  • Take the Patriots on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Commanders (+3)
  • Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders Preview

The Washington Commanders travel to take on the New England Patriots, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. Kickoff for this week 9 game is set for 1:00 PM ET and will be televised on FOX.

The Patriots are the 3 favorites to come away with the win in this non-conference matchup. Are they the best play against the spread? Keep reading to see how I think this one plays out in Foxborough. Check out BetCoco for New England Patriots – Washington Commanders odds

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last three times that the Patriots have faced off vs. the Commanders as the favorite, they have gone 3-0. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Patriots and Commanders, the Patriots hold the edge with an ATS record of 4-3.

  • Across their last five road contests, Washington has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • Across the Patriots last ten home games, the team averaged 21 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Washington has an ATS mark of 2-0-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Patriots have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-3-1.

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders Prediction

Heading into week 9,Washington is in 3rd place in the NFC-East, sitting with an overall record of 3-5. In the NFC, they find themsevles in 11th place. This season, the Commanders boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 3-4-1. Their average scoring margin for this season is -7.1. Washington has an over/under record of 4-4 so far this year. Their average over/under betting line stands at 41.2 points, and their games have averaged a combined 49.9 points per game.

On the offensive front, the Commanders are currently averaging 21.4 points per game, positioning them 16th in the NFL. The Commanders defense takes on the Patriots having given up an average of 28.5 points per game. So far, they are 9th in quarterback hits and are giving up 374.1 yards per contest.

As they get ready to face the Commanders, the Patriots carry in a 2-6 record. Within the AFC-East, they are currently in 4th place and are positioned 16th in the AFC overall. The Patriots’ current scoring margin stands at -11.2, which has them coming in with a 2-6 ATS record. Currently, the Patriots have an average over/under line of 42.1 points for this season. Their games have been averaging 40.8 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 3-5.

Offensively, the Patriots have an average of 14.8 points per game, which is 28th in the NFL. In terms of turnovers, the New England defense has seven takeaways, which is 10th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 26 points per game and 321.1 yards.

The Patriots enter this game as 3-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 22-19. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the New England team has a 59% chance of prevailing over the Commanders.

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders Betting Tips

  • Take the Patriots on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Commanders (+3)
  • Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under

New England Patriots Injury Report

  • Jonathan Jones – Knee (Questionable)
  • Deatrich Wise Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Trent Brown – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • Pharaoh Brown – Back (Questionable)
  • Myles Bryant – Chest (Questionable)
  • Christian Barmore – Knee (Questionable)
  • Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
  • Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
  • Davon Godchaux – Illness (Questionable)
  • Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Vederian Lowe – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Josh Uche – Ankle/toe (Questionable)
  • Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
  • Calvin Anderson – Illness (Questionable)
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
  • DeVante Parker – Head (Questionable)
  • Riley Reiff – Knee (Out)
  • Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
  • Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
  • Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)

Washington Commanders Injury Report

  • Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
  • Ricky Stromberg – Knee (Questionable)
  • Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
  • Logan Thomas – Heel (Probable)
  • Percy Butler – Calf (Questionable)
  • Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
  • Darrick Forrest – Shoulder (Out)
  • Saahdiq Charles – Calf (Out)
  • David Bada – Triceps (Out)
  • Drew White – Knee (Out)
  • Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
  • Curtis Samuel – Toe (Questionable)
  • Jeremy Reaves – Knee (Out)
  • Troy Apke – Shoulder (Out)
  • Cody Barton – Ankle (Out)


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