New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints Preview
At 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 8th, the Saints travel to take on the Patriots. This NFL week 5 matchup will take place at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough with CBS carrying television coverage.
In this non-conference matchup, the Patriots are listed as 1 point favorites to come out on top. Should you place your bet on them to cover the spread, or is there a better option with the Saints? Read on to find out. Check out BetCoco for New England Patriots – New Orleans Saints odds
New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Saints and Patriots did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Patriots have the leg up at 2-1. The Patriots also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 51 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
- In their last five road games, New Orleans has averaged 18 points per game while allowing 14 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games at home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-4-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
- Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 0-2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints Prediction
Heading into their matchup with the Patriots, the Saints have a 2-2 record. In the NFC-South, they are in 3rd place and 11th place in the NFC overall. The Saints have put together a record of 0-3-1 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of -3.5. Currently, the Saints have an average over/under line of 40.8 points for this season. Their games have been averaging 34.5 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 0-4.
With an average of 15.5 points per contest, the New Orleans offense currently ranks 24th in the league. On defense, the Saints are giving up an average of 201.0 passing yards per game and 103.2. In terms of sacks, New Orleans is 8th among other defenses and they are giving up 19 points per game and 304.2 yards.
At home, the Patriots have a record of 0-2 this season and are 1-3 overall. When looking at the standings, New England is 12th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC-East. On the road, New England has gone 1-1 thus far. The Patriots have a 1-3 ATS record so far. As we enter week 5, their scoring margin per game is -10.5. Coming in with an over/under record of 1-3, the Patriots have an average margin of -4.2 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 38 points per game.
In terms of offense, the Patriots are at 13.8 points per game, ranking them 25th in the NFL. The Patriots defense takes on the Saints having given up an average of 24.2 points per game. So far, they are 12th in quarterback hits and are giving up 297.0 yards per contest.
With the Patriots being favored by 1, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 22-21 in favor of the Patriots. Our analytics assigns New England a 53% chance of defeating the Saints.
New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints Betting Tips
- Take the Patriots on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Saints (+1)
- Projecting a combined 43 points, we like the over
New England Patriots Injury Report
- Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
- Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
- Ty Montgomery II – Illness (Questionable)
- Davon Godchaux – Ankle (Questionable)
- Rhamondre Stevenson – Thigh (Questionable)
- Christian Barmore – Knee (Questionable)
- Shaun Wade – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
- Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
- Cole Strange – Knee (Questionable)
- Jack Jones – Hamstring (Out)
- Tyquan Thornton – Shoulder (Out)
- Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
- Riley Reiff – Knee (Questionable)
- Trey Flowers – Foot (Questionable)
- Cody Davis – Knee (Questionable)
- Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
- Jonathan Jones – Ankle (Questionable)
- Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
New Orleans Saints Injury Report
- Jamaal Williams – Hamstring (Out)
- Marcus Maye – Suspended (Out)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Andrus Peat – Concussion (Questionable)
- Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
- Foster Moreau – Ankle (Probable)
- Lonnie Johnson Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jake Haener – Suspension (Out)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
- Paulson Adebo – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Juwan Johnson – Calf (Questionable)
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Derek Carr – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Ryan Ramczyk – Foot (Questionable)
- Erik McCoy – Knee (Questionable)
- Bryan Bresee – Illness (Questionable)
- Jordan Howden – Finger (Probable)
