New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview
On Sunday, December 3rd, the Patriots are hosting the Chargers at Gillette Stadium. This week 13 NFL matchup kicks off at 1:00 ET with CBS carrying the television coverage.
The Chargers head into the game as the 6 point favorite to pick up the win. I handicapped this game for you, keep reading to get my analysis of this matchup. Check out BetCoco for New England Patriots – Los Angeles Chargers odds
New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Patriots have been dominant over the Chargers, going 5-0 in their last five head to head games. The Patriots have been the team to bet on in this head-to-head series, as they have gone a perfect 5-0 the last five times they have faced off against the Chargers.
- In their last five games away from home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, New England has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 11 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 1-9. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-9.
- Los Angeles has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
Through 11 games, the Chargers are 4th in the AFC-West on an overall record of 4-7. This will be Los Angeles’ 6th game on the road this season and they are below .500 at 2-3. At home, they have gone 2-4. The Chargers currently hold a 4-7 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is +1. This season, games featuring the Chargers have averaged 47.9 points, placing them at 7th in the NFL. They currently hold an over/under record of 3-8, with an average OU line of 47.5 points.
On the offensive front, the Chargers are currently averaging 24.5 points per game, positioning them 7th in the NFL. The Chargers defense comes into the game with rankings of 7th in tackles for loss and 5th in sacks. Their opponents have been scoring 23.5 points per game and gaining 390.6 yards (per game).
Through 11 games, the Patriots are 2-9. In the AFC-East standings, they are in 4th place which puts them 16th in the AFC. The Patriots hold a 2-9 record against the spread. As we approach week 13, their scoring margin stands at -9.1 per game. So far this season, the Patriots hold an over/under record of 3-8. The average over/under betting line in their games has been 41.3 points, and their games have averaged a combined 36 points.
Regarding their offense, the Patriots have an average 13.5 points per game, which places them 27th in the NFL. The Patriots defense comes into the game with rankings of 14th in tackles for loss and 15th in sacks. Their opponents have been scoring 22.5 points per game and gaining 316.8 yards (per game).
With a 6-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Chargers to secure a 25-24 victory. Our analytics have assigned Los Angeles a 52% chance of defeating the Patriots.
New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Tips
- Take the Chargers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Patriots (+6)
- Projecting a combined 49 points, we like the over
New England Patriots Injury Report
- Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
- Demario Douglas – Head (Questionable)
- Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
- Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
- Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
- Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
- Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
- Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
- Riley Reiff – Knee (Questionable)
- Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
- Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
- Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)
Los Angeles Chargers Injury Report
- Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
- Nick Vannett – Concussion (Questionable)
- Joey Bosa – Foot (Out)
- Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
- Tanner Muse – Knee (Out)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- Joshua Palmer – Knee (Out)
- JT Woods – Illness (Questionable)
- Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
- Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)
