New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Preview
The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots will face off on Sunday, October 22nd at 1:00 ET. You can find this week 7 NFL game between the Bills and Patriots on CBS.
In this AFC East matchup, the Bills are heading in as 8.5 point road favorites. Will they manage to win on the road and cover? Check out BetCoco for New England Patriots – Buffalo Bills odds
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Head-to-head, the Bills and Patriots faced off two times with the Bills going 2-0. The over/under under mark in these matchups was 1-1, with the team’s combining to average 46 points per contest. When looking at the spread, the Bills went 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups. The Bills’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 341 yards per game of offense. As for the Patriots, they averaged 291.5 yards offensively.
The last five times, the Bills have faced off against the Patriots on the road, they are above .500 at 3-2. The over/under record in the five most recent head to head games between the Bills and Patriots is 3-2 with an average of 46 points per game. The last three times that the Bills have been on the road vs. the Patriots, the over/under record is 2-2-1.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
With a record of 4-2, the Bills head into their week 7 matchup with Patriots in 2nd place in the AFC-East. So far, they have gone 1-1 on the road and 3-1 at home. Against the spread, the Bills are currently 3-3. So far, they have been favored in all of their games. This season, Buffalo games have seen an average of 43.7 points, which is 15th in the league. Their over/under record stands at 2-4, with an average OU line of 46.7 points.
Regarding their offense, the Bills have an average 28.8 points per game, which places them 3rd in the NFL. The Buffalo defense has recorded 13 takeaways this season, which places them 2nd in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 14.8 is 3rd in the league while giving up 323.8 yards per contest.
Overall, the Patriots have put together a record of 1-5 and are in 4th place in the AFC-East. This week will be their 4th game at home, and they have yet to pick up a win on their home turf. On the road, the Patriots are 1-2. The Patriots have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 1-5. Their average scoring margin for this season is -13.3. With an over/under record of 1-5, the Patriots come in with an average margin of -4.2 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 37.3 points per game.
On offense, the Patriots are currently averaging 12 points per game, ranking them 27th in the NFL. So far the Patriots’ defense has given up an average of 306.7 yards per game and 25.3 points per contest (22nd). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 66.8% and have given up six passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 15th in the NFL.
The Bills enter this game as 8.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 24-21. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Buffalo team has a 57% chance of prevailing over the Patriots.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Betting Tips
- Take the Bills on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Patriots (+8.5)
- Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over
New England Patriots Injury Report
- Keion White – Concussion (Questionable)
- Demario Douglas – Concussion (Questionable)
- Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
- Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
- Kayshon Boutte – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Christian Barmore – Knee (Questionable)
- Trent Brown – Chest (Questionable)
- David Andrews – Ankle (Questionable)
- Hunter Henry – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jabrill Peppers – Knee (Questionable)
- Davon Godchaux – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kyle Dugger – Foot (Questionable)
- Mike Onwenu – Ankle (Questionable)
- Shaun Wade – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Jack Jones – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Trey Flowers – Foot (Questionable)
- Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
- Cody Davis – Knee (Questionable)
- Riley Reiff – Knee (Questionable)
- Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
- Jonathan Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster – Concussion (Questionable)
- Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
- Josh Uche – Knee (Questionable)
- Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
- Cole Strange – Knee (Questionable)
- Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
- Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)
Buffalo Bills Injury Report
- Josh Allen – Shoulder (Probable)
- Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Questionable)
- Ed Oliver – Toe (Questionable)
- Cam Lewis – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Quintin Morris – Ankle (Questionable)
- Greg Rousseau – Foot (Probable)
- Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
- DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
- Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
- Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
- Damien Harris – Neck (Questionable)
- Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
- Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
- Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
- Dane Jackson – Foot (Probable)
