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miami dolphins vs new york giants prediction & betting tips 10/8/2023 sport preview

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants Prediction & Betting Tips 10/8/2023

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Selections

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants 10/8/2023:
  • Take the Dolphins on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Giants (+11)
  • Our NFL model projects 45 points, and we suggest taking the under

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants Preview

At 1:00 ET, the Dolphins and Giants go head-to-head at Hard Rock Stadium in this week 5 NFL matchup. Catch the action on FOX with the game scheduled for Sunday, October 8th.

The odds for this week 5 non conference matchup have the Dolphins as the 11 point favorites at home. What side will I be taking leading up Sunday? Check out BetCoco for Miami Dolphins – New York Giants odds

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Giants and Dolphins did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Giants have a record of 2-1. The Giants also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

  • Across the Giants last three road games, the team averaged 16 points per game while allowing 32. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 26 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Giants have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants Prediction

Taking on the Dolphins, the Giants will look to improve on their record of 1-3. This mark has them in 4th in the NFC-East and 13th in the NFC. The current scoring margin for the Giants’ is -19, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 0-4. The average over/under line for New York games this season is currently 43.4 points. They have an over/under record of 1-3 with an average margin against the over/under of -1.4.

On offense, the Giants are at 11.5 points per game, putting them 27th in the NFL. The Giants are 19th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 341.5 yards per contest. New York’s defense comes in with an average of 30.5 points per game allowed, which is 27th in the NFL.

Taking on the Giants, the Dolphins will look to improve on their record of 3-1. This mark has them in 2nd in the AFC-East and 5th in the AFC. Taking a look at the Dolphins’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +7.8. This has resulted in an ATS record of 3-1. Miami games have averaged 67.2 points so far this season, which is 1st in the NFL. Their over/under record is 3-1, with an average OU line of 49.1 points.

Offensively, the Dolphins have an average of 37.5 points per game, which positions them 1st in the NFL. Looking at Miami’s defense, they currently stand 25th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 29.8 points per game and 374.5 yards per contest against them.

The Dolphins enter this game as 11-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 25-20. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Miami team has a 68% chance of prevailing over the Giants.

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants Betting Tips

  • Take the Dolphins on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Giants (+11)
  • Our NFL model projects 45 points, and we suggest taking the under

Miami Dolphins Injury Report

  • Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
  • Braxton Berrios – Knee (Questionable)
  • Lester Cotton – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Salvon Ahmed – Groin (Probable)
  • Robert Hunt – Knee (Probable)
  • Jaelan Phillips – Oblique (Questionable)
  • Robert Jones – Knee (Questionable)
  • Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
  • Jeff Wilson Jr. – Finger (Out)
  • Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • DeShon Elliott – Ankle/groin (Questionable)
  • River Cracraft – Shoulder (Out)
  • Connor Williams – Groin (Questionable)
  • Nik Needham – Achilles (Questionable)
  • Terron Armstead – Knee (Out)
  • Jalen Ramsey – Knee (Out)

New York Giants Injury Report

  • John Michael Schmitz Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Bryce Ford-Wheaton – Knee (Out)
  • Shane Lemieux – Groin (Questionable)
  • Gary Brightwell – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Azeez Ojulari – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Wan’Dale Robinson – Knee (Questionable)
  • Evan Neal – Ankle/hand (Questionable)
  • Marcus McKethan – Knee (Questionable)
  • Chris Myarick – Hand (Out)
  • Andrew Thomas – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Aaron Robinson – Knee (Out)
  • Daniel Bellinger – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tommy Sweeney – Illness (Out)
  • J.C. Hassenauer – Triceps (Out)
  • Saquon Barkley – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Cole Beasley – Quad (Out)
  • Jarrad Davis – Knee (Out)

 

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