Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys Preview
At 4:25 ET, the Cowboys and Dolphins clash at Hard Rock Stadium for a week 16 NFL matchup. Catch the action on FOX, with the game set for Sunday, December 24th.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Dolphins – Dallas Cowboys odds
Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Miami and Dallas, the Cowboys have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 12 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Dallas is averaging 25 points compared to Miami at 13.
- Through their last three road contests, the Cowboys offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Dallas posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
- Through their last five home contests, the Dolphins offense has averaged 26 points per game while allowing an average of 25. Miami posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 7-3.
Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction
This season, the Cowboys hold the 1st position in the NFC-East with an overall record of 10-4. Their non-conference game record is 3-1, and in NFC action, they are NFC. Taking a look at the Cowboys’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +11.9. This has resulted in an ATS record of 9-5. The average over/under line for the Cowboys this season stands at 45.3 points. Their games have averaged 49.6 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 8-6.
Regarding their offense, the Cowboys have an average 30.8 points per game, which places them 2nd in the NFL. On defense, the Cowboys are currently positioned 13th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 18.9 points per game and gaining 294.3 yards per contest.
Heading into their week 16 matchup against Dallas the Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC-East on a record of 10-4. In their seven games at home they have gone 6-1 and 4-3 on the road. The Dolphins have put together a record of 9-5 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +10.5. This season, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 8-6. Their average over/under betting line so far is 46.8 points with their games averaging a combined 52.5 points per contest.
In terms of offense, the Dolphins are at 31.5 points per game, ranking them 1st in the NFL. In terms of turnovers, the Miami defense has 22 takeaways, which is 4th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 21 points per game and 293.4 yards.
Our prediction for this game is that the Dolphins will come out on top with a projected score of 26-24. The advanced model provides the Dolphins with a 56% probability of securing the win.
Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Tips
- Take the Dolphins on the moneyline
- The Dolphins should also cover at -1.5
- Our NFL model projects 50 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Dolphins Injury Report
- Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
- Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
- Cam Smith – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
- Jevon Holland – Knee (Questionable)
- Jaylen Waddle – Chest (Questionable)
- Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Out)
- Robert Hunt – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Austin Jackson – Oblique (Questionable)
- Alexander Johnson – Undisclosed (Out)
- Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
- Salvon Ahmed – Foot (Out)
- Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
- Connor Williams – Knee (Out)
- Jerome Baker – Knee (Out)
- DeShon Elliott – Concussion/ribs (Questionable)
- Emmanuel Ogbah – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Xavien Howard – Hip (Questionable)
- Tyreek Hill – Ankle (Questionable)
Dallas Cowboys Injury Report
- Billy Price – Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Leighton Vander Esch – Neck (Out)
- Malik Hooker – Ankle (Questionable)
- Zack Martin – Quadriceps (Questionable)
- Johnathan Hankins – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
- C.J. Goodwin – Pectoral (Out)
- Sean McKeon – Ankle (Out)
- Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
- Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
- Matt Waletzko – Shoulder (Questionable)
- David Durden – Knee (Out)
- DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
- Viliami Fehoko Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
