Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Preview
At 8:20 ET, the Ravens and Chargers clash at SoFi Stadium for a week 12 NFL matchup. Catch the action on NBC, with the game set for Sunday, November 26th.
The Ravens head into the game as the 4 point favorite to pick up the win. I handicapped this game for you, keep reading to get my analysis of this matchup. Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Chargers – Baltimore Ravens odds
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Los Angeles and Baltimore, the Ravens hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 11 points.
- Across their ten previous road games, Baltimore has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 19 points per game.
- Through their last five home games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 23 points per game.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Chargers have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Ravens have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
Throughout this season, the Ravens have a record of 8-3, which positions them at 1st in the AFC-North. Their performance reflects a 1-0 record as underdogs and 7-3 when they are favored. The current scoring margin for the Ravens’ is +11.5, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 7-4. At 5-6 vs. the over/under, the Ravens have an average margin of +1.2 versus their over/under lines. This season, their games have a combined average of 43.7 points per contest.
As they enter week 12, the Ravens offense ranks 4th in the league, averaging 27.6 points per contest. The Ravens’ defense has, on average, allowed 273.5 yards and 16.1 points per contest (2nd). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 60.0% completion rate and yielded nine passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 13th in the NFL.
So far this season, the Chargers have an overall record of 4-6 and have a below .500 record at home (2-3). Heading into week 12, the Chargers are 4th in the AFC-West and 13th in the AFC. This season, the Chargers boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 4-6. Their average scoring margin for this season is +2.1. Up to this point in the season, games featuring Los Angeles have ranked 3rd in total points. They have maintained an over/under record of 3-7, and the average over/under line for their games is 47.4 points.
At home, the Chargers’ offense has been excellent, averaging 7th in the league. Overall, their average of 25.9 points per contest is 8th in the league. When it comes to defense, the Chargers have given up 291.6 passing yards and 102.0 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Los Angeles ranks 5th among other defenses. Coming into week 12, they have allowed 23.8 points per game and 393.6 yards.
Even though they are 4 point underdogs, we see the Chargers winning this game by a score of 25-22. After running simulations of the game, the Chargers have a win probability of 60% vs. the Ravens.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Tips
- We like the Chargers on the moneyline (+169)
- The Chargers are also our pick on the spread at +4
- Our NFL model projects 47 points, and we suggest taking the under
Los Angeles Chargers Injury Report
- Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
- Gerald Everett – Back (Questionable)
- Joey Bosa – Foot (Doubtful)
- Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
- Tanner Muse – Knee (Questionable)
- Jalen Guyton – Groin (Questionable)
- Joshua Palmer – Knee (Out)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
- JT Woods – Illness (Questionable)
- Isaiah Spiller – Illness (Questionable)
- Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)
Baltimore Ravens Injury Report
- Ronnie Stanley – Knee (Questionable)
- Marlon Humphrey – Calf (Questionable)
- Odell Beckham Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
- Mark Andrews – Ankle (Out)
- Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
- J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
- Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
- Ar’Darius Washington – Chest (Out)
- David Ojabo – Ankle/knee (Out)
- Damarion Williams – Ankle (Out)
- Trenton Simpson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
- Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)
