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kansas city chiefs vs miami dolphins prediction 11/5/2023 sport preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Betting Tips 11/5/2023

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins 11/5/2023:
  • Take the Chiefs on the moneyline
  • The Chiefs should also cover at -1.5
  • Projecting a combined 54 points, we like the over

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Preview

The Dolphins will play host to the Chiefs at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, None, with a kickoff scheduled for 9:30 PM ET. The game will be televised on NFLN.

Kansas City heads into this AFC matchup as the 1.5 point favorite to come away with the win. Does this mean they are a lock to win? Read on to get my take on this matchup. Check out BetCoco for Kansas City Chiefs – Miami Dolphins odds

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last three games between Miami and Kansas City, the Chiefs have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 14 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Kansas City is averaging 32 points compared to Miami at 18.

  • Miami has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 25 points per game while allowing 32. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last three home games, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 19 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

Leading up to their matchup with the Chiefs, the Dolphins are 6-2. They currently sit 1st in the AFC-East and are in 2nd place in the AFC. The Dolphins’ scoring margin for the season is currently +8.4. This has contributed to their ATS record of 6-2. With an over/under record of 5-3, the Dolphins come in with an average margin of +10.6 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 59.4 points per game.

As they enter week 9, the Dolphins offense ranks 1st in the league, averaging 33.9 points per contest. The Dolphins’ defense, so far, has an average of 329.4 yards given up per game and 25.5 points per contest (23rd). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 69.5% and 12 passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 16th in the NFL.

In week 9, Kansas City is in 1st place in the AFC-West with a 6-2 record. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 1st place. The Chiefs’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +7.2. This has contributed to an ATS record of 5-3. Looking at their over/under lines, the Chiefs have seen an average line of 48.3 points. Their games have averaged 39.5 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 2-6.

With an average of 23.4 points per contest, the Kansas City offense currently ranks 12th in the league. On defense, the Chiefs come into the game ranked 9th in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks. Opponents are scoring 16.1 points per game vs. them along with an average of 287.8 yards per contest.

Looking at our projections, the Chiefs are expected to take down the Dolphins by a score of 29-25. Our advanced model indicates a 61% chance of victory for the Chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Betting Tips

  • Take the Chiefs on the moneyline
  • The Chiefs should also cover at -1.5
  • Projecting a combined 54 points, we like the over

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

  • Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Questionable)
  • Tommy Townsend – Hand (Probable)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Illness (Out)
  • Nick Bolton – Wrist (Out)
  • Willie Gay – Tailbone (Questionable)
  • Cole Christiansen – Hamstring (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Justyn Ross – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Richie James – Knee (Questionable)

Miami Dolphins Injury Report

  • Raheem Mostert – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jalen Ramsey – Knee (Questionable)
  • Durham Smythe – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Nik Needham – Achilles (Questionable)
  • Connor Williams – Groin (Questionable)
  • De’Von Achane – Knee (Out)
  • Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
  • Justin Bethel – Foot (Questionable)
  • Braxton Berrios – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
  • Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Out)
  • Robert Hunt – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Brandon Jones – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
  • River Cracraft – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Terron Armstead – Knee (Questionable)
  • Xavien Howard – Groin (Questionable)


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