Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Preview
The Buffalo Bills travel to take on the Kansas City Chiefs, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Kickoff for this week 14 game is set for 4:25 PM ET and will be televised on CBS.
In this matchup of AFC conference rivals, the Chiefs are listed as 2.5 point home favorites. Can they secure a home and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Kansas City Chiefs – Buffalo Bills odds
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In their only head to head matchup last season, the Bills won by a score of 24-20. In last year’s matchup, the Bills covered the spread, while the team’s combined for 44 which was below the over/under line of 54.5 points. Offensively, the Bills finished with 443 total yards with 318 coming in the passing game and 125 on the ground. The Chiefs finished with 387 yards of offense in the loss.
The last three times that the Chiefs have faced off vs. the Bills as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In the last five head to head games between the Bills and Chiefs, the average combined point total is 56 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 3-2.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
Leading up to their matchup with the Chiefs, the Bills are 6-6. They currently sit 2nd in the AFC-East and are in 11th place in the AFC. Looking at the Bills’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +8.4. This has led to an ATS record of 4-8. Buffalo games have averaged 46.2 points so far this season, which is 8th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 4-8, with an average OU line of 45.8 points.
Regarding their offense, the Bills have an average 27.3 points per game, which places them 5th in the NFL. In terms of turnovers, the Buffalo defense has 21 takeaways, which is 2nd in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 18.9 points per game and 319.9 yards.
In 12 games, the Chiefs have a 8-4 record. This has them situated 1st in the AFC-West and 3rd in the AFC. The Chiefs’ current scoring margin stands at +5.6, which has them coming in with a 7-5 ATS record. So far this season, the Chiefs have been given an average over/under line of 47.5 points. Their games have averaged 40.2 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 4-8.
Offensively, the Chiefs have an average of 22.9 points per game, which is 11th in the NFL. With a matchup against the Bills’ offense, the Chiefs defense has allowed an average of 17.3 points per game so far. They currently are 6th in quarterback hits and are allowing 297.7 yards per contest.
The Chiefs enter this game as 2.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 27-25. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Kansas City team has a 56% chance of prevailing over the Bills.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Betting Tips
- Take the Chiefs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Bills (+2.5)
- Projecting a combined 52 points, we like the over
Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report
- Bryan Cook – Ankle (Questionable)
- Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
- Cole Christiansen – Hamstring (Out)
- Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
- Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
- Justyn Ross – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Nick Bolton – Wrist (Questionable)
- Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Questionable)
- Donovan Smith – Neck (Questionable)
- Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Out)
- Drue Tranquill – Concussion (Questionable)
Buffalo Bills Injury Report
- Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
- Dane Jackson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
- Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Out)
- Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
- Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
- Taylor Rapp – Neck (Questionable)
- Dawson Knox – Wrist (Out)
- Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
- Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
- Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
- Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
- DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
- Von Miller – Personal (Questionable)
