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houston texans vs pittsburgh steelers prediction & betting tips 10/1/2023 sport preview

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction & Betting Tips 10/1/2023

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Selections

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10/1/2023:
  • Take the Steelers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Texans (+2.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

At 1:00 ET, the Steelers and Texans square off at NRG Stadium in a week 4 NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to CBS with the game being played on Sunday, October 1st.

In a matchup between two AFC teams, the Steelers are 2.5 point favorites on the road. Find out my best bets for the spread, total and moneyline. Check out BetCoco for Houston Texans – Pittsburgh Steelers odds

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Steelers and Texans did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Steelers have a record of 3-0. The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Pittsburgh has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games home games, the Texans have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-4-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Texans have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
  • The Steelers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

As they face the Texans, the Steelers will be looking to improve upon their 2-1 record. This has them positioned 1st in the AFC-North and 2nd in the AFC. The Steelers’ scoring margin for the season is currently -4.7. This has contributed to their ATS record of 2-1. To date this season, games involving Pittsburgh rank 16th in total points. Their over/under record stands at 1-2, and the average over/under line for their games is 41.2 points.

Regarding their offense, the Steelers have an average 18.7 points per game, which places them 18th in the NFL. Defensively, the Steelers come into the game allowing an average of 235.3 passing yards per game and 151.7 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Pittsburgh ranks 1st among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 23.3 points on 387.0 yards.

Through three games, the Texans have played one game at home where they have gone 0-1. So far, all of their games have been vs. AFC teams and their overall record of 1-2 has them sitting 2nd in the AFC-South. The Texans have a 1-2 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -2.3. So far this season, Houston games are 12th in total points. Their over/under record is 2-1 and the average over/under line for their games is 42.2 points.

On offense, the Texans are currently averaging 22 points per game, ranking them 15th in the NFL. Houston is 17th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 24.3 points per game, accumulating 340.7 yards per contest.

The Steelers enter this game as 2.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 19-18. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Pittsburgh team has a 47% chance of prevailing over the Texans.

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Tips

  • Take the Steelers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Texans (+2.5)
  • Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under

Houston Texans Injury Report

  • Tytus Howard – Hand (Out)
  • Tavierre Thomas – Hand (Questionable)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Cameron Johnston – Calf (Out)
  • Noah Brown – Groin (Out)
  • Hassan Ridgeway – Calf (Out)
  • Denzel Perryman – Hand/wrist (Questionable)
  • Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Questionable)
  • Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
  • Derek Stingley Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Jalen Pitre – Chest (Probable)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
  • Josh Jones – Hand (Questionable)
  • Jonathan Greenard – Knee (Probable)
  • Shaq Mason – Ankle (Probable)
  • Shaquill Griffin – Foot (Probable)
  • Michael Deiter – Chest (Questionable)
  • Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)
  • Brandon Hill – Hamstring (Out)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)

Pittsburgh Steelers Injury Report

  • Cameron Heyward – Groin (Out)
  • Anthony McFarland Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Renell Wren – Achilles (Out)
  • Diontae Johnson – Hamstring (Out)
  • Josiah Scott – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Darnell Washington – Knee (Questionable)
  • Pressley Harvin III – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Connor Heyward – Ankle (Probable)
  • Allen Robinson II – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Miles Killebrew – Knee (Probable)
  • Larry Ogunjobi – Foot (Questionable)
  • James Daniels – Groin (Questionable)
  • Chukwuma Okorafor – Elbow (Probable)
  • Alfonzo Graham – Shoulder (Out)
  • Cory Trice Jr. – Knee (Out)

 

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