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houston texans vs new orleans saints prediction & betting tips 10/15/2023 sport preview

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints Prediction & Betting Tips 10/15/2023

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Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints 10/15/2023:
  • Take the Saints on the moneyline
  • The Saints should also cover at -1.5
  • Our NFL model projects 39 points, and we suggest taking the under

 

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints Preview

 

At 1:00 ET, the Saints and Texans square off at NRG Stadium in a week 6 NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to FOX with the game being played on Sunday, October 15th.

New Orleans enters this non-conference game against the Texans as 1.5 point road favorites. Keep reading to discover my insights and betting recommendations. Check out BetCoco for Houston Texans – New Orleans Saints odds

 

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints Head-to-Head and Key Stats

 

Over their previous five games against the Texans, the Saints have put together a record of 3-2. When looking at the last three head-to-head matchups between the Saints and Texans, only 3 points per game has separated the teams, with the Texans going 2-1 vs. the spread.

  • In their last three games away from home, the Saints have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
  • Houston has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 21 points per game while allowing 21. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • The Texans have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Saints have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-2-1.

 

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints Prediction

 

Leading up to their matchup with the Texans, the Saints are 3-2. They currently sit 3rd in the NFC-South and are in 8th place in the NFC. The Saints’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +4. This has contributed to an ATS record of 1-3-1. Against the over/under, the Saints have a record of 0-5. In their games, the average over/under betting line has been 40.3 points, and the games have averaged 34.4 points per contest.

Offensively, the Saints have an average of 19.2 points per game, which positions them 19th in the NFL. Thus far, the Saints’ defense has given up an average of 274.6 yards per game and 15.2 points per contest (4th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 57.1% and have surrendered five passing touchdowns. When it comes to run defense, they rank 8th in the NFL.

In the AFC-South standings, the Texans are in 3rd place with a record of 2-3. Within the AFC, Houston is 10th, heading into week 6. As the underdog, Houston has gone 3-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 0-1 as the favorite. At home, the Texans are 1-1 ATS and 2-1 vs. the spread on the road. The average over/under line for the Texans this season stands at 41.9 points. Their games have averaged 43 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 2-3.

On the offensive front, the Texans are currently averaging 23 points per game, positioning them 11th in the NFL. So far the Texans’ defense has given up an average of 338.8 yards per game and 20 points per contest (10th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 72.4% and have given up three passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 17th in the NFL.

Looking at our projections, the Saints are expected to take down the Texans by a score of 21-18. Our advanced model indicates a 60% chance of victory for the Saints.

 

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints Betting Tips

 

  • Take the Saints on the moneyline
  • The Saints should also cover at -1.5
  • Our NFL model projects 39 points, and we suggest taking the under

 

Houston Texans Injury Report

 

  • Noah Brown – Groin (Questionable)
  • Shaquill Griffin – Calf (Probable)
  • Hassan Ridgeway – Calf (Out)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Derek Stingley Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Christian Harris – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
  • Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
  • Robert Woods – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Shaq Mason – Ankle (Probable)
  • Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Questionable)
  • Maliek Collins – Abdomen (Probable)
  • George Fant – Hip/shoulder (Probable)
  • Blake Cashman – Wrist (Probable)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
  • Tank Dell – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
  • Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)

 

New Orleans Saints Injury Report

 

  • Jamaal Williams – Hamstring (Out)
  • Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
  • J.T. Gray – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Lonnie Johnson Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Juwan Johnson – Calf (Questionable)
  • Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
  • Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
  • Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
  • Landon Young – Hip (Questionable)
  • Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
  • Jake Haener – Suspension (Out)
  • Adam Prentice – Knee (Questionable)
  • Cameron Jordan – Back (Questionable)
  • James Hurst – Foot (Probable)
  • Chris Olave – Toe (Probable)
  • Shaquan Davis – Undisclosed (Out)

 

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