Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview
At 1:00 ET, the Jaguars and Texans meet at NRG Stadium for a week 12 NFL game. TV coverage is provided by CBS, and the game takes place on Sunday, November 26th.
In a matchup between two AFC South teams, the Jaguars are 1 point favorites on the road. Find out my best bets on the spread, total and moneyline. Check out BetCoco for Houston Texans – Jacksonville Jaguars odds
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last year, the Jaguars and Texans split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1. The Jaguars and Texans split their games vs. the spread last season. Together they combined to average 26.5 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 0-2. In these head-to-head matchups, the Jaguars’ offense averaged 379.5 yards per game compared to the Texans at 262.5.
Last season, the Jaguars and Texans did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Texans have the leg up at 2-1. The Texans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 35 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
This week will be the Jaguars’ 8th game against an AFC opponent. Their overall record is 7-3 while going 5-2 against other teams in the AFC. In the standings, Jacksonville is 1st in the division and 3rd in the AFC. The Jaguars’ current scoring margin stands at +2.6, which has them coming in with a 7-3 ATS record. This season, the Jaguars have an over/under record and have an average margin of -0.7 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 43.4 points per game.
So far this season, the Jacksonville offense has been averaging 23 points per game, ranking them 11th in the league. When it comes to turnovers, the Jacksonville defense has forced 20 takeaways, putting them 1st in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 20.4 points per game and yielding 341.4 yards.
Heading into their week 12 matchup against Jacksonville the Texans are in 2nd place in the AFC-South on a record of 6-4. In their five games at home they have gone 4-1 and 2-3 on the road. Taking a look at the Texans’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +3. This has resulted in an ATS record of 5-5. With an over/under record of 4-6, the Texans come in with an average margin of +1.8 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 44.6 points per game.
With an average of 23.8 points per contest, the Houston offense currently ranks 10th in the league. The Texans’ defense has, on average, allowed 337.9 yards and 20.8 points per contest (13th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 69.9% completion rate and yielded 10 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 8th in the NFL.
Our prediction for this game is that the Jaguars will come out on top with a projected score of 22-20. The advanced model provides the Jaguars with a 53% probability of securing the win.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Tips
- Take the Jaguars on the moneyline
- The Jaguars should also cover at -1
- Our NFL model projects 42 points, and we suggest taking the under
Houston Texans Injury Report
- Denzel Perryman – Suspension (Out)
- Jimmie Ward – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Hassan Ridgeway – Achilles (Out)
- Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
- Ka’imi Fairbairn – Quad (Out)
- Noah Brown – Knee (Questionable)
- M.J. Stewart – Shoulder (Out)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- Grayland Arnold – Calf (Out)
- Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
- Charlie Heck – Foot (Questionable)
- Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)
- Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
- Henry To’oto’o – Concussion (Questionable)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
- Dameon Pierce – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jake Hansen – Hand/hamstring (Questionable)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
Jacksonville Jaguars Injury Report
- Jamal Agnew – Shoulder/ribs (Out)
- Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
- Tyson Campbell – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
- Christian Braswell – Hamstring (Out)
- Leonard Taylor – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
