Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Preview
You can find this week 12 NFL matchup between the Packers and Lions on FOX at 12:30 (11/23/23). This game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit (MI).
The Lions are set as 7.5 point favorites at home in this NFC North showdown. Can they pull off a home win and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Detroit Lions – Green Bay Packers odds
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Going back to last season, the Lions and Packers faced off two times, with the Lions going 2-0. Against the spread, the Lions had the edge in last year’s head to head matchups, going 2-0. On the over/under, the team’s averaged 30 points per game leading to an OU mark of 0-2. In these head-to-head matchups, the Packers’ offense averaged 340 yards per game compared to the Lions at 288.5.
In the last five head to head matchups, the Lions have had the upper-hand, going 4-1. In the previous three head-head to matchups between the Packers and Lions, the Lions have gone 3-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 8 points per game.
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
Heading into their matchup with the Lions, the Packers have a 4-6 record. In the NFC-North, they are in 3rd place and 8th place in the NFC overall. The Packers have a 5-5 ATS record so far. As we enter week 12, their scoring margin per game is 0. Green Bay games this season have averaged 40.4 points, which is 22nd in the NFL. Their over/under record is 4-6, with an average OU line of 41.8 points.
The Green Bay offense is currently ranked 19th in the league, averaging 20.2 points per contest. When it comes to turnovers, the Green Bay defense has forced nine takeaways, putting them 10th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 20.2 points per game and yielding 327.9 yards.
Leading up to their matchup with the Packers, the Lions are 8-2. They currently sit 1st in the NFC-North and are in 2nd place in the NFC. The Lions have a 7-3 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is +4.3. So far this season, Detroit games are 2nd in total points. Their over/under record is 6-4 and the average over/under line for their games is 46.4 points.
So far this season, the Detroit offense has been averaging 27.2 points per game, ranking them 6th in the league. Heading into this week’s matchup with the Packers, the Lions defense has given up an average of 22.9 points per game. They are currently 16th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 313.0 yards per contest.
Coming in as 7.5 point favorites, our projections have the Lions picking up a 24-19 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives Detroit 66% chance of taking down the Packers.
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Betting Tips
- Take the Lions on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Packers (+7.5)
- Our NFL model projects 43 points, and we suggest taking the under
Detroit Lions Injury Report
- Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Back (Out)
- Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
- Scott Daly – Knee (Out)
- Frank Ragnow – Toe (Probable)
- Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
- Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
- Ifeatu Melifonwu – Hand (Probable)
- Isaiah Buggs – Illness (Probable)
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
- Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
- Jonah Jackson – Wrist/ankle (Questionable)
- Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)
- James Houston – Ankle (Out)
- Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Out)
- Mohamed Ibrahim – Hip (Out)
Green Bay Packers Injury Report
- Dontayvion Wicks – Knee/concussion (Questionable)
- Christian Watson – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
- Luke Musgrave – Abdomen (Questionable)
- Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Josiah Deguara – Hip (Questionable)
- AJ Dillon – Groin (Questionable)
- Rashan Gary – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Elgton Jenkins – Knee (Questionable)
- Corey Ballentine – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Darnell Savage – Calf (Questionable)
- Keisean Nixon – Ankle (Questionable)
- Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Out)
- Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
- Jaire Alexander – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Rudy Ford – Biceps (Questionable)
- Aaron Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- De’Vondre Campbell – Neck (Questionable)
- Kenny Clark – Shoulder (Questionable)
- David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)
