Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview
On Sunday, December 31st, the Broncos are hosting the Chargers at Empower Field at Mile High. This week 17 NFL football matchup kicks off at 4:25 ET with CBS carrying the television coverage.
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Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Chargers and Broncos each picked up one win apiece. Together the Chargers and Broncos averaged 47 points per game and had an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, they each went 1-1. Offensively, the Broncos averaged 364.5 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Chargers at 324.5 yards.
In the last five head to head matchups, the Broncos have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. The last three times that the Broncos have hosted the Chargers, the over/under record is 1-2 with the teams combining for an average of 53 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 1-2.
Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
This season, the Chargers have achieved an overall record of 5-10, putting them 4th in the AFC-West. This includes a 0-6 record as underdogs and 5-4 when they are favored. The Chargers have put together a record of 6-9 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of -2.9. The Chargers come in with an over/under record of 5-10. Their games have had an average over/under betting line of 45.7 points, with an average combined score of 46.3 points per game.
Los Angeles’ offense comes in with an average of 21.7 points per game, which is currently 16th in the league. On the defensive front, the Chargers currently hold the 11th position in tackles for loss and rank 6th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 24.6 points and 372.6 yards per game against them.
This week will be the Broncos’ 9th home game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 4-4 at home and 3-4 on the road. Their overall mark of 7-8 has them sitting 3rd in the AFC-West. The Broncos have a 5-9-1 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -3.3. This season Denver games are 8th in total points. Their over/under record is 7-8, and the average over/under line for their games stands at 44 points.
The Denver offense is currently ranked 14th in the league, averaging 21.8 points per contest. Going up against the Chargers’ offense, the Broncos defense has allowed an average of 25.1 points per game. So far this season, they are 11th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 376.2 yards per contest.
The Broncos enter this game as 5.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 21-20. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Denver team has a 52% chance of prevailing over the Chargers.
Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Tips
- Take the Broncos on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Chargers (+5.5)
- Projecting a combined 41 points, we like the over
Denver Broncos Injury Report
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Questionable)
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Nik Bonitto – Knee (Questionable)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
- Courtland Sutton – Head (Questionable)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
Los Angeles Chargers Injury Report
- Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
- Keenan Allen – Heel (Questionable)
- Joey Bosa – Foot (Questionable)
- Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
- Will Clapp – Knee (Out)
- Justin Herbert – Finger (Out)
- Zack Bailey – Back (Out)
- Tanner Muse – Knee (Questionable)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
- Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
- Deane Leonard – Ankle/heel (Questionable)
- Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)