Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Preview
At 4:05 ET, the Browns and Broncos meet at Empower Field at Mile High for a week 12 NFL game. TV coverage is provided by FOX, and the game takes place on Sunday, November 26th.
This showdown between AFC conference opponents has the Broncos as 2.5 point home favorites. Will they be able to clinch a win at home and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Denver Broncos – Cleveland Browns odds
Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Broncos and Browns have gone in favor of the Broncos, putting together a record of 8-2. When looking at the last three head-to-head matchups between the Browns and Broncos, only 1 point per game has separated the teams, with the Browns going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 30 points per game.
- Through their last three home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 1-1-1. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 21 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the underdog, the Browns have an ATS record of 2-0-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Broncos have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-7-1.
Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Prediction
Taking on the Broncos, the Browns will look to improve on their record of 7-3. This mark has them in 2nd in the AFC-North and 5th in the AFC. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Browns are above .500 at 6-3-1. Their average scoring margin is +4.7. The average over/under line for the Browns this season stands at 38.6 points. Their games have averaged 40.7 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 4-5-1.
With an average of 22.7 points per contest, the Cleveland offense currently ranks 12th in the league. Defensively, the Browns are currently ranked 1st in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks. Their opponents have been putting up an average of 18 points per game against them and accumulating 243.3 yards per contest.
Leading up to their matchup with the Browns, the Broncos are 5-5. They currently sit 2nd in the AFC-West and are in 10th place in the AFC. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Broncos are above .500 at 3-6-1. Their average scoring margin is -5.1. So far this season, Denver games are 6th in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 4-6, with an average over/under line for their games set at 44.6 points.
The Denver offense is currently positioned 14th in the league, scoring an average of 21.7 points per contest. On defense, the Broncos come into the game ranked 16th in tackles for loss and 19th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 26.8 points per game vs. them along with an average of 400.1 yards per contest.
The Broncos enter this game as 2.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 19-18. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Denver team has a 53% chance of prevailing over the Browns.
Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns Betting Tips
- Take the Broncos on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Browns (+2.5)
- Projecting a combined 37 points, we like the over
Denver Broncos Injury Report
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
- Brandon Johnson – Hamstring (Out)
- P.J. Locke – Ankle (Questionable)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
- Kareem Jackson – Suspension (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
Cleveland Browns Injury Report
- Michael Woods II – Achilles (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Daylen Baldwin – Hamstring (Out)
- Cameron Mitchell – Shoulder (Out)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Juan Thornhill – Calf (Questionable)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Knee (Out)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
- Thomas Graham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
- Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Anthony Walker Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Deshaun Watson – Shoulder (Out)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Marquise Goodwin – Concussion (Questionable)
- Rodney McLeod Jr. – Bicep (Out)
- Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)