Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers Preview
You can find this week 6 NFL matchup between the 49ers and Browns on FOX at 1:00 (10/15/23). This game will be played at Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland (OH).
This non-conference game sees the 49ers as 9.5 point favorites to come out with a win. Are they the best pick on the spread, or could the Browns provide better value? Continue reading to find out. Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Browns – San Francisco 49ers odds
Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Cleveland and San Francisco, the 49ers hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 8 points.
- Across their three previous road games, San Francisco has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 22 points per game.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Browns offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Cleveland posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
- The last ten games that Cleveland was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 3-7 straight up.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, San Francisco has an ATS mark of 8-1-1 while going 10-0 straight up.
Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction
Before their week 6 matchup with Browns, the 49ers remain unbeaten at 5-0. This positions them 1st in the NFC-West. Currently, they’ve had two games on the road and three at home. The 49ers currently hold a 4-0-1 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is +19.8. With an over/under record of 3-2, the 49ers come in with an average margin of +3.1 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 47 points per game.
With an average of 33.4 points per contest, the San Francisco offense currently ranks 2nd in the league. The 49ers are currently 8th in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 13.6 points per game and gaining 266.8 yards per contest against them.
Through four games, the Browns are 2-2. In the AFC-North standings, they are in 3rd place which puts them 8th in the AFC. When it comes to the spread, the Browns come in at 2-2. Going into week 6, their scoring margin per game is +4. The average over/under line for the Browns this season is currently 40.2 points. So far, their games have averaged 34 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 1-3.
The Cleveland offense is currently positioned 20th in the league, scoring an average of 19 points per contest. The Cleveland defense has recorded three takeaways this season, which places them 10th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 15 is 3rd in the league while giving up 196.8 yards per contest.
Coming in as 9.5 point favorites, our projections have the 49ers picking up a 20-19 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives San Francisco 54% chance of taking down the Browns.
Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Tips
- Take the 49ers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Browns (+9.5)
- Projecting a combined 39 points, we like the over
Cleveland Browns Injury Report
- Cedric Tillman – Hip (Questionable)
- Joel Bitonio – Knee (Questionable)
- David Njoku – Hand/face (Questionable)
- Jerome Ford – Knee (Probable)
- Daylen Baldwin – Hamstring (Out)
- Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
- Thomas Graham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
- Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
- Michael Woods II – Achilles (Out)
- Ethan Pocic – Chest/knee/foot (Questionable)
- Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
- Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
- Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
- Myles Garrett – Foot (Questionable)
- Deshaun Watson – Right Shoulder (Out)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Knee (Out)
- Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
San Francisco 49ers Injury Report
- Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
- Samuel Womack III – Knee (Out)
- Elijah Mitchell – Knee (Questionable)
- Dre Greenlaw – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Aaron Banks – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)
