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chicago bears vs denver broncos prediction & betting tips 10/1/2023 sport preview

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Betting Tips 10/1/2023

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Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos 10/1/2023:
  • We like the Bears on the moneyline (+143)
  • The Bears are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NFL model projects 38 points, and we suggest taking the under

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos Preview

On Sunday, October 1st at 1:00 PM ET, the Chicago Bears and Denver Broncos face off at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. CBS will carry the TV coverage for the game.

Denver is set to take on the Bears in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 3 points on the road. Read on for my thoughts and betting angles. Check out BetCoco for Chicago Bears – Denver Broncos odds

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Broncos are averaging 14 points per game, compared to the Bears at 13. These figures have led to Denver posting a record of 2-1.

  • Across their ten previous road games, Denver has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-9 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • Through their last ten home games, Chicago has an ATS record of just 2-8. However, their overall record was 1-9 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
  • The last three games that Denver was favored, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 1-2 straight up.

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos Prediction

As they face the Bears, the Broncos will be looking to improve upon their 0-3 record. This has them positioned 4th in the AFC-West and 16th in the AFC. Taking a look at the Broncos’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -17.7. This has resulted in an ATS record of 0-3. This season, the Broncos have an over/under record and have an average margin of +20.7 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 63.7 points per game.

At 23 points per contest, the Denver offense is 14th in the league. The Broncos defense comes into the game with rankings of 11th in tackles for loss and 10th in sacks. Their opponents have been scoring 40.7 points per game and gaining 458.3 yards (per game).

Coming into their game against Broncos, the Bears are trying to improve on a 0-3 record. This mark has them at 4th in the NFC-North and 16th in the NFC. Looking at the Bears’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at -19.7. This has led to an ATS record of 0-3. So far this season, the Bears have been given an average over/under line of 43.2 points. Their games have averaged 51 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 3-0.

At 15.7 points per contest, the Chicago offense is 23rd in the league. Chicago is 26th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 35.3 points per game, accumulating 407.3 yards per contest.

Even though they are 3 point underdogs, we see the Bears winning this game by a score of 22-16. After running simulations of the game, the Bears have a win probability of 68% vs. the Broncos.

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos Betting Tips

  • We like the Bears on the moneyline (+143)
  • The Bears are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NFL model projects 38 points, and we suggest taking the under

Chicago Bears Injury Report

  • Travis Homer – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Teven Jenkins – Leg (Out)
  • Jaylon Johnson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Khalid Kareem – Hip (Out)
  • Kyler Gordon – Hand (Out)
  • Doug Kramer – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Josh Blackwell – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Braxton Jones – Neck (Out)
  • Eddie Jackson – Foot (Questionable)

Denver Broncos Injury Report

  • Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
  • Mike Purcell – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Jerry Jeudy – Knee (Questionable)
  • Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
  • Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
  • Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
  • Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
  • Baron Browning – Knee (Out)
  • Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
  • Frank Clark – Hip (Questionable)
  • Justin Simmons – Hip (Questionable)
  • K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
  • P.J. Locke – Leg (Out)
  • Josey Jewell – Hip (Questionable)


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