Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
This week 8 NFL matchup between the Bills and Buccaneers takes place on Thursday, October 26th at 8:15 ET. The Bills will host the Buccaneers at Highmark Stadium with the game being televised on AMAZON.
In this non-conference clash, Buffalo comes in as 8.5 point road favorites against the Buccaneers. Check out my recommendations and betting analysis by continuing to read. Check out BetCoco for Buffalo Bills – Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds
Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Bills have faced off vs. the Buccaneers as the favorite, they have gone 3-0. Over the last three head-to-head matchups between the Buccaneers and Bills, taking the Buccaneers against the spread has been a good bet, as they are a perfect 2-0-1 ATS.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- Buffalo has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 15. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- As the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Tampa Bay posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
- In their last five contests as the favorite, Buffalo has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.
Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
Over the course of six games, the Buccaneers have put together a record of 3-3. This positions them 2nd in the NFC-South and 7th in the NFC. The Buccaneers have a 3-3 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -0.2. Looking at their over/under lines, the Buccaneers have seen an average line of 41.8 points. Their games have averaged 34.5 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 1-5.
Tampa Bay’s offense comes in with an average of 17.2 points per game, which is currently 24th in the league. On defense, the Buccaneers come into the game ranked 16th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 17.3 points per game vs. them along with an average of 342.5 yards per contest.
As they take on the Buccaneers, the Bills will be looking to build on their 4-3 record. This currently places them at 2nd in the AFC-East and 7th in the AFC. The Bills have a 3-4 ATS record so far. As we enter week 8, their scoring margin per game is +11.4. Throughout this season, Buffalo games have averaged 45.1 points, ranking them 11th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 3-4, with an average OU line of 45.9 points.
Buffalo’s offense is 3rd in the league, with an average of 28.3 points per contest. In terms of defense, the Bills hold the 2nd position in tackles for loss and are ranked 2nd in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 16.9 points and gain 329.6 yards per game against them.
Our prediction for this game is that the Bills will come out on top with a projected score of 27-18. The advanced model provides the Bills with a 75% probability of securing the win.
Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Tips
- Take the Bills on the moneyline
- The Bills should also cover at -8.5
- Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over
Buffalo Bills Injury Report
- Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
- Baylon Spector – Hamstring (Out)
- Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
- Quintin Morris – Ankle (Out)
- Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
- Jordan Phillips – Back (Questionable)
- Von Miller – Knee (Questionable)
- DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
- Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
- Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
- Dawson Knox – Wrist (Out)
- Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
- Ed Oliver – Toe (Questionable)
- Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Kaevon Merriweather – Ankle (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- Matt Feiler – Knee (Out)
- Chris Godwin – Neck (Questionable)
- Baker Mayfield – Knee (Questionable)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
- Vita Vea – Groin (Questionable)
- Chase Edmonds – Knee (Questionable)
