Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Preview
The Patriots will play host to the Bills at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, with a kickoff scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on CBS.
A Check out BetCoco for Buffalo Bills – New England Patriots odds
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Bills are hoping to build off last year’s success over the Patriots as they went 2-0 in their head-to-head meetings. The two teams averaged a combined 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, the Bills went 2-0. The Bills had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 341 yards of offense compared to the Patriots at 291.5.
Last season, the Patriots and Bills did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bills have the leg up at 2-1. The Bills also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 48 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction
Throughout this season, the Patriots have a record of 4-11, which positions them at 4th in the AFC-East. Their performance reflects a 3-8 record as underdogs and 1-3 when they are favored. So far this season, the Patriots are above .500 vs. the spread at 4-10-1. Their average scoring margin this season is -7.3. Throughout this season, New England games have averaged 35.6 points, ranking them 30th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 6-9, with an average OU line of 40 points.
For this season, the New England offense has an average of 14.1 points per game, placing them at 29th in the league. Going up against the Bills’ offense, the Patriots defense has allowed an average of 21.5 points per game. So far this season, they are 22nd in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 306.1 yards per contest.
At 9-6, the Bills are 6th in the AFC and 2nd in the AFC-East. This will be Buffalo’s 9th home game this season, where they have gone 6-2 compared to 3-4 on the road. When it comes to the spread, the Bills come in at 6-9. Going into week 17, their scoring margin per game is +8.5. This season, the average over/under line for games involving Buffalo is 46.2 points. They currently hold an over/under record of 5-10, and their average margin against the over/under is -0.9.
Offensively, the Bills have an average of 26.9 points per game, which positions them 6th in the NFL. The Bills’ defense has, on average, allowed 310.2 yards and 18.4 points per contest (4th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 66.1% completion rate and yielded 17 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 16th in the NFL.
With a 12-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Bills to secure a 27-20 victory. Our analytics have assigned Buffalo a 68% chance of defeating the Patriots.
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Betting Tips
- Take the Bills on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Patriots (+12)
- Projecting a combined 47 points, we like the over
Buffalo Bills Injury Report
- Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Questionable)
- Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
- A.J. Epenesa – Ribs (Questionable)
- Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
- Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
- Ty Johnson – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
- Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
- Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
- Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
- Micah Hyde – Neck (Questionable)
- DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Questionable)
- Jordan Phillips – Wrist (Out)
New England Patriots Injury Report
- Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Cole Strange – Knee (Out)
- Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
- Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
- Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
- Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
- Conor McDermott – Concussion (Out)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jabrill Peppers – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
- Riley Reiff – Knee (Out)
- Matthew Slater – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Hunter Henry – Knee (Questionable)
- Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
- Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
- Rhamondre Stevenson – Ankle (Questionable)
- Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
- Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
- J.C. Jackson – Personal (Out)
