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buffalo bills vs denver broncos prediction & tips 11/13/2023 sport preview

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Betting Tips 11/13/2023

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Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos 11/13/2023:
  • Take the Bills on the moneyline
  • The Bills should also cover at -7.5
  • Our NFL model projects 46 points, and we suggest taking the under

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Preview

ABC has the television coverage for this Bills vs. Broncos matchup. Kickoff takes place at 8:15 on Monday, November 13th. This week 10 NFL showdown is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park NY.

This week’s AFC clash features the Bills as 7.5 point road favorites. Can they secure a win at home and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Buffalo Bills – Denver Broncos odds

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Bills have gone a perfect 3-0 in their last three head to head matchups vs. the Broncos. The Broncos have been the team to bet on of late in the head-to-head games between the Broncos and Bills as Denver is a perfect 0-3 vs. the spread in that stretch.

  • Across their ten previous road games, Denver has an ATS mark of 4-5-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Bills have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 24 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Broncos have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
  • Against the spread, the Bills have put together of 1-4 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-2 straight up.

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Prediction

Taking on the Bills, the Broncos will look to improve on their record of 3-5. This mark has them in 4th in the AFC-West and 15th in the AFC. When it comes to the spread, the Broncos have a 2-5-1 record. Heading into week 10, their scoring margin is at -6.8 (per game). This season, the Broncos have an over/under record and have an average margin of +5.3 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 49.8 points per game.

Overall, the Broncos offense is averaging 21.5 points per game which is 16th in the NFL. In terms of scoring on the road, the Broncos are averaging 19.7 points per contest. When it comes to turnovers, the Denver defense has forced 12 takeaways, putting them 6th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 28.2 points per game and yielding 405.9 yards.

Heading into their week 10 matchup against Denver the Bills are in 2nd place in the AFC-East on a record of 5-4. In their five games at home they have gone 4-1 and 1-3 on the road. The Bills’ have a scoring margin of +8.9 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 3-6. This season, the Bills have an over/under record of 3-6. Their games have seen an average over/under betting line of 46.1 points, and the average combined score per game has been 44.4 points.

On offense, the Bills are averaging 26.7 points per game, putting them 5th in the NFL. Buffalo is 5th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 17.8 points per game, accumulating 334.0 yards per contest.

Based on our analysis, we foresee the Bills winning the game with a predicted score of 28-18. Our advanced model assigns the Bills a 77% chance of emerging as the victors.

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Betting Tips

  • Take the Bills on the moneyline
  • The Bills should also cover at -7.5
  • Our NFL model projects 46 points, and we suggest taking the under

Buffalo Bills Injury Report

  • Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
  • Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Out)
  • Terrel Bernard – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Baylon Spector – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Christian Benford – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
  • Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
  • Dawson Knox – Wrist (Out)
  • Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
  • DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
  • Micah Hyde – Arm (Questionable)
  • A.J. Klein – Back (Questionable)

Denver Broncos Injury Report

  • Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
  • Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
  • Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
  • Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
  • Brandon Johnson – Hamstring (Out)
  • Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
  • K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • Kareem Jackson – Suspension (Out)
  • Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
  • Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)


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