Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Preview
At 1:00 ET , the Commanders and Falcons square off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a week 6 NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to CBS with the game being played on Sunday, October 15th.
The odds for this week 6 NFC matchup have the Falcons as the 2.5 point favorites at home. Will the Falcons pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Sunday. Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Falcons – Washington Commanders odds
Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In their only head to head matchup last season, the Commanders won by a score of 19-13. In last year’s matchup, the Commanders covered the spread, while the team’s combined for 32 which was below the over/under line of 40.5 points. Offensively, the Commanders finished with 314 total yards with 138 coming in the passing game and 176 on the ground. The Falcons finished with 332 yards of offense in the loss.
The last five times that the Falcons have hosted the Commanders, they have an above .500 record at 4-1. The last three times that the Falcons have hosted the Commanders, the over/under record is 1-2 with the teams combining for an average of 53 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 2-1.
Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Prediction
This week will be the Commanders’ 3rd road game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 1-1 on the road and 1-2 at home. Their overall mark of 2-3 has them sitting 3rd in the NFC-East. The Commanders have put together a record of 2-3 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of -10.2. This season, games featuring the Commanders have averaged 53.8 points, placing them at 4th in the NFL. They currently hold an over/under record of 3-2, with an average OU line of 41.6 points.
This season, the Washington offense has an average of 21.8 points, placing them 15th in the league. Looking at Washington’s defense, they currently stand 29th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 32 points per game and 372.2 yards per contest against them.
In week 6, Atlanta is in 2nd place in the NFC-South with a 3-2 record. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 6th place. This season, the Falcons find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 1-4. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at -2.6. This season, the Falcons have an over/under record of 1-4. Their games have seen an average over/under betting line of 42.4 points, and the average combined score per game has been 35.8 points.
In terms of offense, the Falcons are at 16.6 points per game, ranking them 24th in the NFL. With a matchup against the Commanders’ offense, the Falcons defense has allowed an average of 19.2 points per game so far. They currently are 10th in quarterback hits and are allowing 295.2 yards per contest.
With a 2.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Falcons to secure a 20-18 victory. Our analytics have assigned Atlanta a 56% chance of defeating the Commanders.
Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Betting Tips
- Take the Falcons on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Commanders (+2.5)
- Our NFL model projects 38 points, and we suggest taking the under
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Bud Dupree – Wrist (Probable)
- Jonnu Smith – Ankle (Probable)
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Parker Hesse – Undisclosed (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Kaleb McGary – Knee (Questionable)
Washington Commanders Injury Report
- Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
- Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
- Curtis Hodges – Illness (Probable)
- Phidarian Mathis – Calf (Out)
- Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
- Christian Holmes – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Drew White – Knee (Out)
- David Bada – Triceps (Out)
- Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
- Darrick Forrest – Shoulder (Out)
- Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
- Troy Apke – Shoulder (Out)
- Jeremy Reaves – Knee (Out)
- Kaden Smith – Undisclosed (Out)
- Efe Obada – Knee (Questionable)
