Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
The Buccaneers will face the Falcons in this week 14 CFB game, airing on CBS at 1:00 (12/10/23). The contest is set to occur at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta (GA).
This showdown between NFC South division opponents has the Falcons as 2.5 point home favorites. Will they be able to clinch a win at home and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Falcons – Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds
Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last year, the Falcons and Buccaneers split their head-to-head matchups, with each team going 1-1. Against the spread, the Falcons had the edge in last year’s head to head matchups, going 2-0. On the over/under, the team’s averaged 41.5 points per game leading to an OU mark of 1-1. On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Buccaneers averaging 321 yards per game compared to the Falcons at 321.5.
Over their previous five games against the Falcons, the Buccaneers have put together a record of 3-2. The last three times that the Falcons have hosted the Buccaneers, the over/under record is 1-2 with the teams combining for an average of 50 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 1-2.
Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
This week will be the Buccaneers’ 9th game against an NFC opponent. Their overall record is 5-7 while going 4-4 against other teams in the NFC. In the standings, Tampa Bay is 2nd in the division and 10th in the NFC. Thus far this season, the Buccaneers hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 7-5. Their average scoring margin in the current season is -1. This season, the average over/under line for games involving Tampa Bay is 41.3 points. They currently hold an over/under record of 4-8, and their average margin against the over/under is -1.5.
Coming into week 14, the Buccaneers offense is 20th in the league at 19.4 points per contest. The Buccaneers are currently 3rd in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 20.4 points per game and gaining 356.9 yards per contest against them.
In their game against the Buccaneers, the Falcons will aim to improve their 6-6 record. This positions them 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Falcons have a 4-8 record. Heading into week 14, their scoring margin is at -1.2 (per game). The Falcons are currently working with an average over/under line of 40.3 points this season. Their games have been averaging 38.8 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 4-8.
As they enter week 14, the Falcons offense ranks 21st in the league, averaging 18.8 points per contest. With a matchup against the Buccaneers’ offense, the Falcons defense has allowed an average of 20 points per game so far. They currently are 12th in quarterback hits and are allowing 315.9 yards per contest.
With the Falcons being favored by 2.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 19-18 in favor of the Falcons. Our analytics assigns Atlanta a 51% chance of defeating the Buccaneers.
Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Tips
- Take the Falcons on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Buccaneers (+2.5)
- Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
- Nate Landman – Knee (Questionable)
- LaCale London – Knee (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- A.J. Terrell – Concussion (Questionable)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Kaleb McGary – Knee (Questionable)
- Mack Hollins – Ankle (Questionable)
- Mike Hughes – Hand (Questionable)
- Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Mike Greene – Calf (Out)
- SirVocea Dennis – Illness (Questionable)
- Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)
- K.J. Britt – Back (Questionable)
- Rakim Jarrett – Quad (Out)
- Jamel Dean – Ankle/foot (Questionable)
- Lavonte David – Groin (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
- Devin White – Foot (Questionable)
